TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Over51c78,000$39,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,461.3512147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under49c40,000$19,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,699.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over51c39,862$20,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,731.1711656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c20,325$10,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,033.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c20,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Under50c17,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5003138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Under49c16,000$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,84016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c10,983$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under50c9,432$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.2129748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under53c8,451$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.124841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under48c7,018$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.715545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c6,003$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.412,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under50c3,000$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.778053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over51c2,912$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.8817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,719$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.384,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over51c2,588$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.1229652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under49c2,560$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.414356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over51c2,482$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.353452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Under50c2,244$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.0118558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under1c2,110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.39446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Under50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ef3…ce62backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over52c1,960$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.692958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under50c1,823$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.5750047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c1,556$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.522,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over52c1,512$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.541,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under55c1,200$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.462,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49034447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c910.05$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45915653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4acb…ddd3backed Over51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over52c675$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c600$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over51c588.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4516837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.568138.3%31 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…859bbacked Under50c554$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27750%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over55c544.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.123,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…bac0backed Over51c528.9$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.161070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c505.16$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5326753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Under47c501.52$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.521,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14027747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under51c457.37$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2610451%53 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.217551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.219448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over54c419.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.227247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c414.93$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under50c409.2$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.615055.3%83 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabba…e3ebbacked Under52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over64c367.94$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.612,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over50c367.52$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7617341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18062347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7372647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14748146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14423948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over49c295.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.929348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under22c269.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3463427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.516669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over54c249.89$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9532151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Over53c236.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.199242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c211.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.983,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under48c204.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a5…1633backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…5cb2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5647359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf16…0601backed Under51c196.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f5f…2348backed Over53c196.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.232937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Under49c192.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.244035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6827161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d2…3ecbbacked Under50c183.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4af…0938backed Under50c169.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.963953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Under50c159$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.242,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…dff3backed Under49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under49c133.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.247856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…c340backed Under50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f32…97c2backed Over52c128.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.852835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Over54c126.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.210357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…cd2bbacked Under79c126.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e3…9efebacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c113.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.861,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadc…aad0backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510641.5%44 W · 62 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+63.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.