NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00ce897968e01621a1645882ebe9f36f1eb30ae47c73185878ccea7e54a7e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Over | 51c | 78,000$39,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,461.35 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 40,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,699.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 51c | 39,862$20,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,731.17 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 20,325$10,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,033.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Under | 50c | 17,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Under | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 10,983$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 50c | 9,432$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.21 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 53c | 8,451$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 48c | 7,018$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.7 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 6,003$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.77 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.88 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,719$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 2,588$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.12 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 49c | 2,560$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.4 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 51c | 2,482$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 50c | 2,244$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.01 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 1c | 2,110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Under | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…ce62backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 50c | 1,823$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.57 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,556$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 52c | 1,512$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.54 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 1,200$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 910.05$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 52c | 675$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 600$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 51c | 588.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.45 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…859bbacked Under | 50c | 554$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 544.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…bac0backed Over | 51c | 528.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 505.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 47c | 501.52$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Under | 51c | 457.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 54c | 419.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 414.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under | 50c | 409.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…e3ebbacked Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 64c | 367.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 50c | 367.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 22c | 269.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Over | 54c | 249.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 53c | 236.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 211.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…5cb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…0601backed Under | 51c | 196.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…2348backed Over | 53c | 196.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Under | 49c | 192.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…3ecbbacked Under | 50c | 183.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed Under | 50c | 169.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Under | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…dff3backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 49c | 133.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Over | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Over | 54c | 126.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Under | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 113.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…aad0backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.