TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under38c74,032$28,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,339.0511535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over60c35,145$21,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,058.061,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over63c19,810$12,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,329.5926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over63c19,060$12,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,026.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c15,624$7,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,004.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over53c5,632$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.9527443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03441652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under32c1,984$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.617132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under9c1,945$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under38c1,844$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.3614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c1,659$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under20c1,083$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Over62c1,021$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.9613456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under34c1,015$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.171,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11a5…8507backed Over71c894.34$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over67c746.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7127158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under33c561.97$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9214634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14512655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Over60c374.48$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.387149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under29c340$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over63c318.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.862,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Under40c302.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.59450%47 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over68c292.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.216852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb0…99a6backed Over80c284.38$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over65c275.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3819756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over66c263$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3744648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ff…f3f3backed Over68c256.07$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.071650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over72c255$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3547856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa14…f533backed Over63c240$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.84753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.754747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under40c212.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.867050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over59c196.61$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6171044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under33c192.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.841,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under29c190.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.871,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under29c184.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.712,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over62c180.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2852643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under43c178.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c164.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935860.3%35 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Over63c160$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8513464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over66c150.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9814763.3%93 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over66c150.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8527152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over69c145.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.746659.1%39 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Over75c136.33$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.687844.9%35 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…5f7ebacked Over80c127.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2212450%62 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb0…03f0backed Under37c116.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-70.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca70…6259backed Over79c107.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0413548.9%66 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over63c107.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6325642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fa…2241backed Over53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3116669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.463427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Over65c90.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.937445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under38c81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.786541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over65c81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6515657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over65c79.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.381650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.025651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Over64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under33c64.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2930616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over63c63.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.615942.4%25 W · 34 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x49d8…c3d5backed Over79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.243100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Under37c62.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.121735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…0001backed Over72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dd…6bf2backed Over62c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88132.1%26 W · 55 L-10.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x774e…8f8cbacked Under46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under38c53.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over55c52.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8313652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6abe…c39dbacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c48.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.143,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1747948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under38c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.864153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b1…e667backed Over68c44.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over67c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.529954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Over62c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.723154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under37c42.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b9f…e6afbacked Over61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b3a…0b88backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7584957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b5…e049backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.759237%34 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7512561.6%77 W · 48 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7512643.7%55 W · 71 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x753f…d672backed Under44c31.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over66c30.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.355352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a98…13cabacked Under45c29.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.