NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38471d7a4f906c7c2199ac6a4a992d6e25ed339cc126e5975d160bb9b4ea06d8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $524,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $537,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks	49c	193,330$95,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,820.77	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Spurs	51c	137,824$70,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,285.63	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks	51c	55,555$28,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,221.81	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs	49c	51,590$25,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,502.73	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs	51c	24,026$12,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,158.43	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Spurs	50c	21,384$10,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,790	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks	49c	20,178$9,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,343.16	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Knicks	51c	18,586$9,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,107.35	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Knicks	50c	18,271$9,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,135.34	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Spurs	49c	16,628$8,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,147.72	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	50c	12,607$6,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,338.86	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks	51c	11,251$5,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,521.99	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d50…95eabacked Spurs	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c81…842ebacked Spurs	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Spurs	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Spurs	49c	7,917$3,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,879.36	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Knicks	50c	7,698$3,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,848.9	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks	49c	7,550$3,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,850.36	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…9ecabacked Spurs	49c	5,472$2,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,681.33	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs	49c	5,000$2,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,451.99	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs	49c	4,489$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.63	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa95…447cbacked Spurs	49c	4,269$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,092	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spurs	49c	4,063$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.74	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Knicks	50c	4,033$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016.39	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Knicks	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks	50c	3,677$1,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,838.5	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+13.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Spurs	48c	3,663$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.02	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Knicks	50c	3,600$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs	49c	3,267$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Spurs	49c	3,041$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabba…e3ebbacked Knicks	51c	2,915$1,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.35	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Knicks	50c	2,837$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.55	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs	49c	2,679$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.65	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Knicks	51c	2,588$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.11	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Spurs	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.94	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Knicks	51c	2,206$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.88	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Spurs	50c	2,097$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Spurs	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-9.3wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Spurs	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Knicks	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	38	78.9%30 W · 8 L	+13.2wins	+0.35per pick	44cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	73+0.21 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Knicks	51c	1,741$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.18	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Knicks	51c	1,741$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.91	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	49c	1,601$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.49	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Spurs	49c	1,384$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Spurs	50c	1,300$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Knicks	53c	1,188$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.36	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks	49c	1,034$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.41	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs	49c	1,024$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.23	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Spurs	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Knicks	51c	1,010$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.8	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks	49c	1,002$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.02	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Spurs	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcdcf…7e4cbacked Spurs	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Spurs	60c	999.91$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.82	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d8…4867backed Knicks	51c	996.92$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.49	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Knicks	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Knicks	50c	969.6$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.8	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	52c	924.06$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Spurs	50c	900$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Knicks	50c	826.96$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.48	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	417	42%175 W · 242 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Spurs	50c	744$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.36	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Spurs	50c	720$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8737…94fdbacked Knicks	50c	638$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	50cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Spurs	50c	630$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-11.2wins	-0.23per pick	55cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Spurs	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Spurs	50c	543.76$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.88	158	57%90 W · 68 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs	13c	505.51$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Knicks	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe928…3b65backed Knicks	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db3…7bddbacked Knicks	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Knicks	50c	475.91$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.17	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Spurs	49c	412.24$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b0…5af4backed Spurs	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Spurs	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Spurs	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd643…9811backed Spurs	50c	399.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ac…4a3cbacked Knicks	50c	397$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Knicks	50c	396.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.08	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc085…3c9bbacked Spurs	50c	396$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Knicks	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Spurs	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c4…0121backed Spurs	49c	389.97$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+5.2wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Spurs	52c	384.75$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Knicks	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Spurs	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks	49c	380.02$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.33	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Spurs	49c	347.33$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Spurs	50c	320$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Spurs	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	230	58.7%135 W · 95 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Spurs	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Spurs	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Knicks	51c	299.99$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Spurs	51c	258.82$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks	50c	250.25$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Knicks	51c	250$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.5	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event