NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73674c3b97f676e7209c6856107ab75ec23b9939b0e5cd0d8690957e7ff99835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 38c | 14,688$5,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,591 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 11,452$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 8,860$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 61c | 8,700$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Over | 65c | 3,244$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.41 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 61c | 2,175$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.25 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 58c | 1,520$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.58 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 44c | 1,194$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 784.72$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 56c | 680$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 54c | 640$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 46c | 640$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 600$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Over | 64c | 498.51$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 50c | 428$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 158.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Under | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 72.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…0a2abacked Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 36c | 38.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4189…c0c2backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 36c | 31.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…b8b6backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…09f6backed Under | 44c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…0b93backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…68fabacked Under | 45c | 30.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f9…9aefbacked Under | 45c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 25.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bc…45a9backed Over | 56c | 25.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…811fbacked Under | 46c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…e0f1backed Under | 45c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…1921backed Over | 58c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fe…414cbacked Over | 56c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…9f48backed Over | 58c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…2635backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e009backed Over | 56c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b0dcbacked Over | 56c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…520ebacked Over | 56c | 18.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…5e47backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5this page
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.