NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ac81512649aef21e0875591ec92b915c74371cee6888e6bfa0913d568def48

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under	45c	61,894$27,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,728.54	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	55c	28,529$15,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,868.99	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over	55c	26,140$14,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,762.94	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Under	45c	15,000$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,750	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff9f…7c29backed Over	55c	14,999$8,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,740.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	8,594$4,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,033.96	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Under	46c	3,528$1,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,622.88	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Over	60c	1,673$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.43	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under	33c	903.98$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.74	146	34.9%51 W · 95 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under	41c	826.96$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.05	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over	57c	545$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.35	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	44c	477.53$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.11	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under	43c	360$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.8	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	34c	330.17$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.18	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over	63c	311.43$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.52	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under	20c	307.27$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.95	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	44c	260$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb0…03f0backed Under	44c	248.49$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	55c	244$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.88	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Under	49c	234$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.66	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under	43c	216$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.71	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	44c	214$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.86	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Over	65c	209.83$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.54	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94ae…63d1backed Over	59c	206.78$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	57c	200$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.32	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under	41c	199.98$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.99	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	43c	193$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.74	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under	46c	187$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.63	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Over	59c	154.33$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.33	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…ff81backed Under	52c	134$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	50c	132.35$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.01	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under	44c	115$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	49c	104$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.04	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over	67c	99.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	42c	96.22$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under	48c	95.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	213	52.1%111 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under	54c	92.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f32…97c2backed Over	76c	92.52$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.52	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under	44c	89$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	68c	82.41$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.36	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	47c	76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.02	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	52c	75.58$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.22	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d8…c3d5backed Over	72c	69.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.36	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6b…54acbacked Over	48c	69$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.88	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b7…7a38backed Under	47c	68.81$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over	59c	67.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.8	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-12.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Over	70c	67.51$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-8.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	42c	67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	23c	65.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90f5…7007backed Under	45c	65$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under	45c	61$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Over	60c	54.97$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.99	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	32c	51.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Under	51c	49.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	71c	46.31$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Over	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over	52c	42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Over	56c	42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+6.0wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over	56c	37$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…aa68backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Over	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over	52c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Over	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Over	55c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under	43c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Over	59c	25.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Over	59c	25.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	166	69.9%116 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Over	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Over	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under	41c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Over	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over	58c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Over	59c	16.97$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	104	51%53 W · 51 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event