NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e283c2ef5df6ea28e2b5bc79851c5dac756aa6cfe459eb356242f592fee742

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $84,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,032 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over	49c	26,510$13,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,507.22	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over	49c	15,060$7,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,730.19	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under	51c	14,000$7,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,139.99	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	9,908$4,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,289.2	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	54c	8,500$4,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,589.98	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Under	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	52c	3,780$1,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,965.78	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	53c	3,021$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	51c	1,764$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.67	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under	53c	1,521$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	48c	1,349$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.48	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under	53c	1,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Over	50c	799.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Under	53c	754.72$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	599.64$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.85	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Over	48c	412.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.41	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+54%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Under	51c	300$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under	53c	283.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.05	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	10c	217.53$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.78	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Under	53c	217$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.01	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	48c	197.92$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.92	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under	53c	183$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.99	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	336	50.6%170 W · 166 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Under	55c	150$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over	49c	150$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Under	52c	144.75$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.27	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-6.0wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under	53c	134.25$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.15	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under	25c	122.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	304	54.9%167 W · 137 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	46c	109.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over	48c	105$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.26	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	103.47$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.77	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	247	31.2%77 W · 170 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea7f…85d5backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+12.3wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1460…d60bbacked Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	33.8%45 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Under	53c	81.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over	47c	81.13$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	487	40.7%198 W · 289 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f32…97c2backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Under	52c	75$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over	48c	72.92$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.92	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	61.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.59	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed Under	53c	55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Under	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	380	50.8%193 W · 187 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	47c	47.17$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f34…1a46backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae6f…afc1backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	66cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x819b…c28abacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	574	44.1%253 W · 321 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4312…4df9backed Under	52c	34.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under	51c	33.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a30…c241backed Over	49c	33.88$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Under	42c	31.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Under	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Over	48c	27.88$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	203	56.7%115 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	52c	25.38$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	166	69.9%116 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eeb…6c86backed Under	53c	24.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event