NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7538f7fcb5519ba703c7619f902d8c965cdf227d1fa65fe092e171792bf260

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	45c	8,245$3,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,697.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over	57c	5,020$2,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,158.66	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Over	57c	4,737$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,036.84	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Under	48c	2,084$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.36	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	44c	1,950$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	56c	1,677$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.66	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under	45c	1,480$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under	51c	1,100$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	49c	831.47$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.38	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	55c	813.03$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.86	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Under	51c	781$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	53c	751.28$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.96	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdb…873fbacked Over	51c	745.1$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	44c	706.56$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.79	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	54c	611.11$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.11	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under	45c	410$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.5	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	394.99$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.93	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Under	45c	388.72$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.92	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c2…895fbacked Over	56c	354.11$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.81	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-11.3wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Under	50c	249.93$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.96	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	-9.3wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0d…f056backed Over	57c	221.05$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	213.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over	50c	200.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.99	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under	45c	182.85$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.33	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under	50c	177$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.84	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under	45c	152.9$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.81	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa025…bd01backed Over	51c	137$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Under	52c	130$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under	47c	121$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.87	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Over	48c	109$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.68	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under	45c	107$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under	45c	104$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under	48c	102$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Over	54c	102$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.47	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under	45c	101$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under	44c	82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	45c	69.72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.33	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	25c	53.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over	53c	52$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.66	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under	45c	52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over	54c	49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under	22c	46.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over	55c	46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.64	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under	45c	46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under	45c	44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over	48c	44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.88	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over	53c	43$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.21	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over	48c	41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under	45c	39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over	48c	39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…c28abacked Over	52c	38.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Over	55c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under	46c	34.85$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…55f4backed Over	56c	33.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over	55c	32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under	44c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under	44c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.0wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over	55c	29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over	53c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Over	56c	29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under	46c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over	56c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under	45c	27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over	55c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	186	51.6%96 W · 90 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b4…9d1ebacked Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over	52c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.37	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Over	56c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Over	56c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Over	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under	44c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over	55c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x127e…656dbacked Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over	55c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over	55c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event