TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,458,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,640,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,458,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,085 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs44c500,000$220,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219,999.9417251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Spurs44c430,038$190,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,623.1214434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks56c367,960$206,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,902.4247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Knicks55c274,281$150,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,169.4526253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs45c245,876$110,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,204.0685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks56c168,489$93,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,591.564,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks55c150,000$83,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,899.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks61c139,768$85,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,099.635,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs44c123,186$54,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,750.832,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Knicks56c112,000$62,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,399.8818045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs44c110,000$48,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,40031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Spurs43c109,156$46,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,536.842744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf98d…7adbbacked Knicks56c106,498$59,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,859.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs44c93,247$41,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,343.112147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Knicks56c83,500$46,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,74017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks55c65,570$36,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,314.8496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Spurs39c65,234$25,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,371.489640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks49c63,455$30,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,506.762,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Spurs49c61,210$30,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,1107745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Knicks56c51,250$28,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,55014358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Knicks56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0003839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Knicks55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50014052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Spurs45c49,622$22,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,577.0338649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Spurs45c48,695$21,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,912.5517861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Knicks56c48,695$27,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,425.621450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks38c48,376$18,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,113.1437539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Spurs45c47,834$21,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,525.1327251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Knicks51c47,790$24,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,522.845259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Knicks56c44,643$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,642.869641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks56c44,000$24,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,3601,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Spurs56c42,605$23,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,903.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Knicks61c41,881$25,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,305.4818453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs44c40,000$17,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,699.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks55c40,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.9138248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Spurs58c36,430$21,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,077.96352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks54c33,722$18,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,525.091,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Knicks55c33,066$18,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,910.1136741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks55c32,144$17,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,388.451,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks55c31,934$17,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,353.091,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks52c31,518$16,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,100.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Spurs44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2004841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Knicks55c29,704$16,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,465.6927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs29c28,782$8,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,247.625925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks56c28,421$15,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,505.282,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs44c28,157$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Spurs45c26,979$12,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,140.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Knicks55c25,575$14,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,436.397957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Knicks56c25,077$13,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,146.2619958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks55c25,004$13,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,350.0261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks65c24,044$15,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,410.4559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks54c22,466$12,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,236.3774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks56c22,362$12,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,820.383,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs11c22,252$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.441,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs45c22,222$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00021944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs45c22,222$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.8934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Spurs43c22,200$9,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,642.9547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs45c21,795$9,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,807.7556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks55c21,676$12,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,673.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks56c20,258$11,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,913.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9917658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks55c19,675$10,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,853.7545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Knicks56c18,568$10,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.865947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Knicks56c17,986$10,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,944.7540350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Spurs44c17,000$7,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,53014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…0c7ebacked Spurs45c16,784$7,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,49610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Knicks45c15,040$6,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,299.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Knicks55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7504035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Knicks55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.9619351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Knicks55c14,628$8,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,606.3162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks56c14,238$7,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,311.981,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Spurs41c14,165$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,826.9517441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Knicks69c14,105$9,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.0514945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs44c13,702$6,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,028.9820454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spurs44c13,695$6,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.8425945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Spurs45c13,500$6,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,07548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Knicks59c13,232$7,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,387.419388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Spurs27c13,199$3,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.9827917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Spurs51c12,902$6,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,574.3416848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs46c12,527$5,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,754.5176850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Spurs43c12,492$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,369.9116942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Spurs45c11,880$5,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3467149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fd…6d70backed Knicks55c11,755$6,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,289.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4b…002bbacked Spurs44c11,586$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,097.851915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Spurs23c11,461$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.9822457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Spurs45c11,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Spurs1c11,076$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Knicks38c11,000$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,779.973036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs21c10,962$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.551,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Knicks56c10,836$6,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d5…e2c1backed Knicks55c10,441$5,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Knicks70c10,286$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.718361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Knicks56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9918547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Spurs43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.946546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c2…efebbacked Spurs44c9,980$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Spurs43c9,900$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.8611244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Spurs25c9,841$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.241,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Knicks55c9,654$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.017255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Knicks37c9,602$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.869348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d67…af7dbacked Spurs43c9,202$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+156%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.