NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81e0a64541e585451097fc34f731df04fb33e8c15317145ecd4254affbe1aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 76c | 10,545$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.35 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Nuggets | 5c | 10,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 64c | 8,140$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 23c | 7,380$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.28 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nuggets | 23c | 7,044$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.19 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Thunder | 20c | 3,074$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.84 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,514$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.07 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Nuggets | 61c | 2,443$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…eaa3backed Thunder | 69c | 2,395$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…a679backed Nuggets | 31c | 2,395$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,423$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Nuggets | 31c | 1,332$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,253$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.63 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,092$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 32c | 1,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Thunder | 68c | 974.93$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Thunder | 39c | 944.88$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.88 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 69c | 922$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 22c | 794$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Thunder | 69c | 714$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 625.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…fdd9backed Thunder | 46c | 614.07$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nuggets | 38c | 609.25$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.52 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 69c | 605.45$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nuggets | 33c | 593.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Nuggets | 34c | 584$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Nuggets | 35c | 526.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Thunder | 56c | 510.68$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Nuggets | 33c | 505.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Nuggets | 36c | 500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Nuggets | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Nuggets | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Nuggets | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Nuggets | 70c | 473.94$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 26c | 471$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 39c | 468.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nuggets | 68c | 409$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thunder | 65c | 408.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Thunder | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Thunder | 65c | 380.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 62c | 359.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nuggets | 44c | 348.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Thunder | 60c | 327.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Thunder | 41c | 326.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Thunder | 18c | 260$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nuggets | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Thunder | 49c | 235.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 75c | 234$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 49c | 202.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Thunder | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Nuggets | 60c | 196$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Nuggets | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…ae80backed Nuggets | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 37c | 162.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Thunder | 74c | 162$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ff…24a5backed Nuggets | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nuggets | 71c | 157.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…61e3backed Nuggets | 32c | 157.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nuggets | 53c | 157$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Thunder | 33c | 155$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…8328backed Nuggets | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Nuggets | 49c | 148.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Thunder | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…d5c6backed Nuggets | 37c | 119.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…cf79backed Thunder | 64c | 119.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Thunder | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Nuggets | 26c | 110.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Nuggets | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Thunder | 68c | 104.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Thunder | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thunder | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Nuggets | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Thunder | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed Nuggets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Nuggets | 68c | 99.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…61edbacked Nuggets | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…5cb2backed Nuggets | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Thunder | 50c | 80.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…7deabacked Thunder | 66c | 75.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Nuggets | 24c | 69.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Nuggets | 43c | 64.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Thunder | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Nuggets | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nuggets | 38c | 59.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Nuggets | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 66c | 50.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…4ebabacked Nuggets | 70c | 50.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…6096backed Thunder | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Nuggets | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Thunder | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…4a34backed Nuggets | 36c | 45.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…3f9dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 45.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Thunder | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Thunder | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Thunder | 36c | 39.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Nuggets | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.