Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03df5643ae41d811e00c4668af73fd2b3a5e91fc07a303c526cd3abf167862c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 17,062$13,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 39c | 12,451$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,626.43 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 40c | 12,411$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.61 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 8,865$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7fc3backed Yes | 28c | 4,437$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…5b76backed Yes | 28c | 4,123$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 35c | 3,682$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…ed9bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,653$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 3,055$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.53 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 2,935$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.9 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…b5d2backed Yes | 28c | 2,893$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…578fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,879$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…be79backed Yes | 28c | 2,670$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…db3fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,503$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…b4a0backed Yes | 28c | 2,380$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…405abacked Yes | 28c | 2,178$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 77c | 2,175$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd82…211bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,108$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…fa5dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,967$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 25c | 1,933$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,929$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…d7c8backed Yes | 28c | 1,906$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…7511backed Yes | 28c | 1,893$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,836$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…0f8dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,824$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…5205backed Yes | 28c | 1,817$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…720fbacked No | 72c | 1,766$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…c9dfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,682$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…f944backed No | 72c | 1,676$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…3befbacked Yes | 28c | 1,647$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…08cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,539$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…1b16backed Yes | 28c | 1,483$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a7…21f9backed No | 72c | 1,437$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8071…9cfebacked No | 72c | 1,352$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 30c | 1,316$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…927dbacked No | 72c | 1,313$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…6023backed Yes | 28c | 1,287$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1cbcbacked No | 72c | 1,260$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 1,241$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.82 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…204fbacked No | 72c | 1,215$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…e91bbacked No | 72c | 1,201$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…687dbacked No | 72c | 1,189$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…073dbacked No | 72c | 1,188$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…d137backed No | 72c | 1,173$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1749…5b57backed No | 72c | 1,143$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…bb1dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,132$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…9189backed Yes | 28c | 1,125$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,111$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…800abacked No | 72c | 1,087$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…03e9backed Yes | 28c | 1,015$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d7…cc17backed No | 72c | 1,013$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9f2bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,012$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…25aabacked No | 72c | 1,010$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…8c71backed Yes | 28c | 984$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e8…06b5backed No | 72c | 918$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 904.41$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…7b3dbacked No | 72c | 894$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 891.82$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…b619backed No | 72c | 883$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…68f6backed No | 72c | 881$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…2ec4backed No | 72c | 875$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…4ad1backed No | 72c | 875$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…4df4backed No | 72c | 863$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…f7fcbacked No | 72c | 859$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…5724backed No | 72c | 855.13$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 20c | 849.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…adcfbacked Yes | 28c | 848$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 835.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 27c | 822.22$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…4de3backed No | 72c | 798$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…546dbacked No | 72c | 798$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…9076backed No | 72c | 787$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6f…b31bbacked Yes | 24c | 778.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…f0c9backed No | 72c | 778$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…74d6backed No | 72c | 748$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…6b3ebacked No | 72c | 748$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…1d9fbacked No | 72c | 745$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac1…6c44backed No | 72c | 744$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…7d05backed No | 72c | 740$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…1291backed No | 72c | 728$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…b78dbacked No | 72c | 725$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 16c | 718.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…581ebacked No | 72c | 713$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e9…2d48backed No | 72c | 711$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…ece8backed No | 72c | 698$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…f606backed No | 72c | 698$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 16c | 696.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…a234backed No | 72c | 692$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…cb74backed No | 72c | 655$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…3047backed No | 72c | 648$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…3485backed Yes | 22c | 640.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…b74cbacked No | 72c | 636$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…3c8ebacked No | 72c | 634$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9bbabacked No | 72c | 623$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.