Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dae6c8a845ee988a996573efef05e3f351432c79330dcf7c71e8b93955cc242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 53c | 102,623$54,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,601.16 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 46c | 80,096$36,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,573.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 48c | 41,421$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 37,153$19,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,542.54 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 28,489$13,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,209.65 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 27,915$15,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,841 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 46c | 25,075$11,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,461.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,249.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 22,853$12,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,512.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 59c | 17,041$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 15,283$7,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,644 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 54c | 12,527$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…1ce5backed Yes | 48c | 11,929$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 11,063$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.75 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 53c | 10,403$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.79 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 10,221$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.13 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…f456backed Yes | 48c | 9,625$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 74c | 8,857$6,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 8,206$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.56 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 48c | 6,613$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.32 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…e75ebacked Yes | 48c | 6,027$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.01 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 70c | 3,936$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 3,552$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.92 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 2,802$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.14 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 13c | 2,792$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.2 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 2,696$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.32 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 32c | 2,617$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.66 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Yes | 47c | 2,502$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 2,484$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 52c | 2,082$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 54c | 1,890$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 45c | 1,800$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,564$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 36c | 1,462$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 53c | 1,400$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 1,215$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.51 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 54c | 1,149$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.72 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 62c | 1,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,076$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 54c | 1,061$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.89 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 49c | 1,040$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 57c | 1,030$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.27 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,028$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.01 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 51c | 1,027$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.04 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked No | 8c | 987.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.66per pick | 9cpaid | +798.5%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 46c | 901.67$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 841.59$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 61c | 819.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 49c | 809.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 45c | 805.39$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 54c | 778$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 41c | 752.17$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…aa11backed Yes | 13c | 744.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 48c | 739.56$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 54c | 708.54$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.93 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 13c | 670.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 658.21$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 30c | 656.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Yes | 49c | 611.62$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 58c | 607.8$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 54c | 585$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 30c | 565$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 7c | 556.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 12c | 541.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 536.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 48c | 515.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 54c | 513.78$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 54c | 499.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 65c | 493.54$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +545.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes | 34c | 492.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 486$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 52c | 469.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 51c | 433.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.