Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcc9a8891c6edaeba5f371fdb017ad45f29bdffe988412097760d76e1e15fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 23,205$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,019.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 25c | 21,384$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,932.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed Yes | 0c | 16,240$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 77c | 16,071$12,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,295.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 14,959$11,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,293.46 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 9,161$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 7,484$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.58 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 6,978$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.22 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 6,287$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 24c | 5,488$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c210backed No | 26c | 5,440$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 57c | 4,997$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,915$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.97 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 62c | 4,837$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 77c | 4,778$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 25c | 3,990$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 24c | 3,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,476$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 71c | 3,476$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 25c | 3,431$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,138$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 3,023$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 24c | 2,952$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.7 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 45c | 2,830$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 75c | 2,671$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.39 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.94 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 53c | 1,966$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.68 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 71c | 1,919$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.14 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,900$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 75c | 1,728$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 75c | 1,673$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 33c | 1,079$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 1,008$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 57c | 879.98$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 50c | 877.42$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 74c | 866.67$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 852$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.62 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes | 76c | 819.96$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 740$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…399bbacked Yes | 74c | 665$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 603.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.48 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 20c | 591.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 25c | 585.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Yes | 76c | 557.64$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 25c | 531.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 25c | 495.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 75c | 447.93$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 75c | 425.33$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 57c | 416.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…4a65backed Yes | 75c | 400.93$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 64cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 66c | 400$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 39c | 385.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 349.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 76c | 341.22$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Yes | 63c | 340$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 60c | 334.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 76c | 323.78$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 54c | 318.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 70c | 314$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 24c | 312.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 60c | 300.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes | 67c | 295.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 70c | 284.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…517bbacked Yes | 65c | 275.32$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 73c | 273.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 75c | 268.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…e34cbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes | 75c | 266.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 49c | 264.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 25c | 263$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 41c | 259.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 24c | 245.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 237.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 60c | 233.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked Yes | 36c | 223.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Yes | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.