Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee2277970666b756f1127658f4b5f07ce754e65148c42a7687a1a37ce93f0ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed No | 0c | 14,520$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,466$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 1,801$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 2c | 1,741$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 1,561$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.7 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 55c | 1,107$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.72 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 18c | 711$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 17c | 579.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed No | 43c | 569.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 520.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 39c | 375.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 35c | 254.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 224.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 52c | 216.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 41c | 190.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 154$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…6001backed Yes | 66c | 151.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd47…173bbacked Yes | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 74.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 17c | 74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 55c | 63.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 35c | 59.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Yes | 36c | 53.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0d…53a5backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…ee1abacked No | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…3533backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 32.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ff…e9b3backed Yes | 78c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.