TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$805,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$897,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No17c100,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,999.7510543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No21c77,920$16,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,734.324346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes79c50,000$39,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5007060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes79c39,618$31,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,271.859146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No21c33,166$6,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,818.5215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes79c31,650$25,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,646.52250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No21c30,714$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.855545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c30,625$6,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,234.81,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No22c30,112$6,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,523.4914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No21c21,518$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.778231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes80c19,899$15,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes79c18,712$14,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No22c18,600$4,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,091.918836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No20c13,849$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.778040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No20c13,702$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.7139842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No23c10,113$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.074949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No22c8,592$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.991513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No22c7,658$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.958241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No4c7,284$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.313619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No20c6,800$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.9619028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No21c6,784$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.9424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c0…35e6backed Yes80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…3a16backed Yes79c5,100$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9811218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa506…5030backed Yes79c4,768$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.38825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes78c4,725$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.771957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes80c4,496$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.292254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No20c4,443$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.9210051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No21c4,315$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.141637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+98.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes78c4,092$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.222878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88010850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Yes78c3,967$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No21c3,891$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.116853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No22c3,871$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes78c3,602$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.617052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No22c3,316$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.481735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes78c3,190$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6516136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes79c3,048$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.792445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0503935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f22…61eabacked No22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…2e64backed Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fa…deaabacked Yes80c2,857$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No22c2,780$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.69341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes78c2,558$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes78c2,313$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37db…a01fbacked Yes79c2,137$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes78c2,121$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-81.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No12c2,101$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9838343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c1,953$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.343427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes75c1,776$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes78c1,741$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.569924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No21c1,680$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.739857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes79c1,642$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No21c1,565$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.633145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Yes79c1,515$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No21c1,460$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.610660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1724…fc81backed Yes79c1,453$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes79c1,449$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes68c1,433$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.564555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No22c1,424$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.35137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes78c1,283$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.26850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No22c1,280$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.196558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No20c1,260$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes80c1,257$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.458345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69aa…4d70backed Yes80c1,251$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505246.2%24 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No19c1,075$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.564623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No5c1,039$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.732445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf475…8c9ebacked Yes79c1,020$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes80c1,020$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.952466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No20c1,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20438048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed No21c999.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243e…e295backed Yes80c946.46$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Yes80c943.24$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.141181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes79c886.08$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.081844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Yes79c870$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes80c859.73$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.953256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes79c820.31$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.273354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c726.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.621,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes79c716$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.365453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No21c677.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.358652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No21c676.95$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1611950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes79c633$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.913056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes79c632$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.724161%25 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.