Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53494d2b3023660fd1402e0209bc7e049a86dac8db9fd0390f98541cbc81ada4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 7c | 9,886$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.04 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…a162backed Yes | 10c | 5,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 7c | 3,759$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 3,686$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 7c | 3,135$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 6c | 3,099$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 3,017$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,366$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 9c | 2,041$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9b25backed Yes | 9c | 1,577$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,517$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,461$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…5d4ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,359$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,213$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,032$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6b7cbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 7c | 921.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 914.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 6c | 843.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…c879backed Yes | 8c | 512.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 10c | 505.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 6c | 328.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 322$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 7c | 299.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 271.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Yes | 9c | 217.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 8c | 168.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…334bbacked Yes | 8c | 127.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 9c | 105.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.