TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes64c40,000$25,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No35c25,360$8,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,875.896437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No36c22,677$8,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,190.495240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c17,986$11,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.3127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No36c16,096$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.256940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No36c14,000$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.969631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No37c13,939$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.471040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c13,894$9,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No36c9,874$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.567938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c8,875$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.4748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No34c7,337$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.4411848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes66c6,328$4,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes64c5,152$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.5920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.983636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No33c4,912$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.332941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No38c3,201$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick30cpaid+151.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes63c2,683$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.5245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c2,636$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.351,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No34c2,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No3c2,270$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8122237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No33c2,097$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No36c1,955$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.472941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6f…b31bbacked No5c1,851$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No39c1,782$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9724939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No18c1,704$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.781926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No35c1,648$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.422030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9312950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes64c1,505$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.8159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c1,335$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.29565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes62c1,249$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.978659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes65c1,153$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0810451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No38c828.63$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No7c798$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6420033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes67c764.9$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4815550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No35c726.62$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.86162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes65c615.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.533154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.382564%16 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes64c602$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No36c497.17$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.276851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes66c486.36$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.362343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No23c479.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.113752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes67c479.1$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.192161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes68c472.06$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.062343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes65c470.31$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.612441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes66c468.8$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.395841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.552770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes64c420$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.23850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes64c400.88$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.127568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1364776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked No12c399.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No36c381$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.167255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab0…6e92backed Yes67c355.22$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes64c346.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Yes65c327.2$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.52666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4613553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes65c310$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.697564%48 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.696550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes65c306.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No36c276.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes66c274.59$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.598858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes65c258.46$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.461650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.388854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No37c231.72$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No37c209.36$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.772347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No35c202.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b6…dc2fbacked Yes70c198.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No37c193.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.724242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No36c191.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0710451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…5cb2backed Yes67c165.89$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb353…a9d8backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.