Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5139df430ae065a7ba322da64ff35aba3159e28f43eebf68224f906f18e435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 21,400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 13c | 19,999$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,337$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6f…b31bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 599.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 441$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes | 12c | 395$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 360$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Yes | 5c | 354.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 14c | 334$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yes | 16c | 312$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 194.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 14c | 177.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 13c | 164.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 11c | 158.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 14c | 84.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.