Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8976802e8c4016b95e2045542204560f217ad4b1c0de7c98640afeb66c616fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,480$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 12c | 1,334$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,137$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 1,131$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 982.16$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 13c | 775.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 12c | 739.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 77c | 487.78$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Yes | 14c | 364.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 335.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 323.26$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 24c | 220.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 166.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…634bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 136.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 15c | 135.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 124.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 20c | 103.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 22c | 90.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…a555backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 51.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…2cc9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 24c | 49.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes | 24c | 43.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…fb26backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.