TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,559,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,768,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,559,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes62c230,000$142,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,519.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No38c113,707$43,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,556.342646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No38c84,041$31,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,935.678940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c74,637$25,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,253.614,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No38c74,187$28,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,157.78957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes61c73,510$45,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,352.1430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No37c72,159$26,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,862.163141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes62c48,502$30,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,315.185058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Yes62c46,491$28,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,765.511080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c45,639$27,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,776.6550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c44,941$18,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,593.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c42,882$16,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,724.179450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes62c40,225$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,225.21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d07…6934backed Yes63c35,558$22,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,156.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No37c32,000$11,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,859.859536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c30,840$9,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,503.6369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No38c30,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.851643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No38c27,352$10,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,442.358828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No38c24,069$9,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,146.1212648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No39c22,000$8,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5809028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No37c16,621$6,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,218.291020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No38c16,300$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes60c15,224$9,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,089.563946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No38c12,960$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.82532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes60c12,831$7,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,132.239459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes53c12,158$6,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,677.6260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes70c12,057$8,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.4729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No39c11,700$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,517.968521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c11,376$4,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,281.353,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes62c11,290$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes63c10,000$6,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7252454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c9,994$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.731,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes60c9,437$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.8226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ca…1d63backed Yes64c9,401$6,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.393268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No38c9,000$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.933253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c8,823$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.411,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No40c8,788$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.883946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No40c8,345$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes64c8,290$5,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.6623727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9606051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes62c7,903$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No36c7,107$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.6425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe566…9cc5backed Yes61c6,974$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.91955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No20c6,404$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.841833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c6,319$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.1225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes63c6,201$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No39c6,134$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No38c6,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No38c5,707$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.831926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes62c5,632$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes64c5,592$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No38c5,578$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.65175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbee9…269dbacked Yes63c5,530$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes62c5,305$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.667452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes62c5,161$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes52c5,058$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.655644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes62c5,000$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8905052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes62c4,560$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes67c4,197$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.584845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No38c4,011$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.185232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5205742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes67c3,786$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbce…8faabacked Yes62c3,610$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Yes63c3,552$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.132138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No40c3,539$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.3564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No39c3,346$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9415851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No39c3,300$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2873218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes62c3,216$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.994548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes74c2,938$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.023941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes60c2,681$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.4540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No38c2,630$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.421957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes62c2,588$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.444266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No38c2,532$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.161020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No24c2,476$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.6111736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No38c2,472$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes61c2,414$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.584942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes63c2,413$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes80c2,381$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.952748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed No40c2,361$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No39c2,326$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.836141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes68c2,285$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.2260732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes60c2,241$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.715646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes65c2,184$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Yes63c2,165$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No38c2,104$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes72c2,100$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5892161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Yes73c2,077$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8d…8a96backed Yes62c1,933$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.