TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes16c19,329$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.6430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes16c18,654$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.1450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes14c16,870$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3623141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes15c11,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6508521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes20c9,051$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.481,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes9c6,417$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes15c5,284$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes15c3,742$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2616740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes15c2,917$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501520%3 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c2,399$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes10c2,102$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes5c2,023$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes13c1,800$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5622335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes16c1,690$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes16c1,402$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Yes16c1,237$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes16c1,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Yes16c1,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc2…e1ffbacked Yes15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes15c978.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes16c937.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes12c826.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.233450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e5e…13bebacked Yes16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes16c745.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.785427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes15c729.64$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.459055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed Yes6c709.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c699.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes12c593.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.814,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Yes4c583.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes4c574.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.031450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eca…c4edbacked Yes2c566.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes15c546.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9516926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes4c526.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes4c488$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.523520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes16c464.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes12c459.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes15c450$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes17c440.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes6c413.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2921842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes3c350$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e0…317dbacked Yes16c348.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes14c320$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9685…718ebacked Yes15c315$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes15c303$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes16c299$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8414540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yes16c294.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb957…d44fbacked Yes9c263.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Yes10c257$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes17c242.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes16c234.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes7c194$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes12c189.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1370%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes6c189.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112025%5 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes17c185.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6212925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x816e…8263backed Yes11c178.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7102…28b4backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5df…c7debacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes19c140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+187.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes15c134.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.243743.2%16 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+88.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes15c133.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes17c132.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.473655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b7…65a3backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb7…7998backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes16c120.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.854259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes14c116.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd767…7cd8backed Yes16c112.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007f…e3adbacked Yes16c111$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d30…57dcbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes15c97.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes16c93.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.637751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x884a…8425backed Yes12c92.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.