TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c31,611$17,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,169.91,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c13,527$10,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.844,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes7c10,000$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.3212648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c4,390$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.3826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes14c3,888$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.327236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No7c3,571$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+636.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c3,412$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.1625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes24c3,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.888243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No66c2,990$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.5660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c2,382$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.148521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes52c2,231$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.894548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes24c2,084$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No69c1,513$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.169947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c1,467$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c1,252$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c1,173$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.13,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes26c1,109$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3911736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes24c1,021$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes20c984.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c966.66$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No71c947.46$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c924$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c773.67$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c729.75$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c685.87$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c657.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.813345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes52c634.22$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7919652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No72c525.53$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1522552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes50c455.8$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.893946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No77c406.49$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No75c405.84$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4614854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe21…2f9cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No53c398$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes24c394$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.565427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes5c392.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Yes23c390$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x327b…ffb5backed Yes52c389.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes16c379.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.813958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes24c367.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4216926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd834…e011backed No62c360$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c351$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9612925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No72c340$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.213052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed No8c300$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No8c300$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761464.3%9 W · 5 L+8.1wins+0.58per pick6cpaid+977.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7523762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62e8…1f24backed Yes11c278.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c249.83$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes11c247.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb960…8c47backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+508.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes23c189.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.694114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed No77c184.42$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes27c173.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c145$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c137.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1217252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd792…5978backed Yes16c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes13c129$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4737039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No77c123.29$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No72c122$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No72c122$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1615250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c122$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c122$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No72c122$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No76c113.41$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.118446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No36c110$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb957…d44fbacked Yes12c106.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No72c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes15c100.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…b599backed Yes15c100.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014166.7%94 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244231%13 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c96.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No75c90.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1515049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc61…9d15backed No77c90$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No75c86.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.589158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bb…c1e6backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x644e…256abacked Yes17c82.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No72c82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No72c82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed Yes26c80.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.