NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10b073bd5bcee39a3480e067847261bebfb3c838e7fd3fd77c89555816f3ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Kings, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,258,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder | 67c | 82,763$55,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,033.69 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Kings | 19c | 77,909$15,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,151.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Thunder | 77c | 77,427$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,427.05 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Kings | 23c | 60,197$13,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,845.3 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Kings | 20c | 52,775$10,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Thunder | 79c | 46,356$36,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.18 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Kings | 22c | 40,945$9,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Kings | 21c | 40,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.97 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Kings | 22c | 36,028$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 39c | 34,282$13,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,287.92 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Thunder | 63c | 26,991$16,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,993.18 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Thunder | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Thunder | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 77c | 18,499$14,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.77 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 80c | 16,387$13,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.76 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Thunder | 77c | 14,000$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.99 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 21c | 13,410$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Thunder | 79c | 12,658$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.23 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Kings | 23c | 12,391$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 65c | 11,654$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.84 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Thunder | 75c | 11,173$8,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 32c | 11,079$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Kings | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Thunder | 79c | 9,342$7,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.73 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Kings | 17c | 8,489$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.18 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Thunder | 66c | 8,361$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.07 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Kings | 37c | 7,453$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Thunder | 80c | 7,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…f783backed Thunder | 76c | 6,880$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 77c | 6,500$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 78c | 6,500$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 61c | 5,869$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 61c | 5,725$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.59 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Thunder | 79c | 5,074$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Kings | 42c | 5,044$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.09 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 22c | 4,940$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Thunder | 56c | 4,694$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 80c | 4,637$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.26 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kings | 38c | 4,380$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.09 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 66c | 3,962$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 56c | 3,734$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 77c | 3,695$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 18c | 3,455$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 18c | 3,394$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.84 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 21c | 3,138$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.9 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Thunder | 78c | 3,000$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Thunder | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Thunder | 60c | 2,977$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.42 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 22c | 2,715$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.52 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Kings | 18c | 2,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Thunder | 79c | 2,367$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.13 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Kings | 21c | 2,367$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.13 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kings | 49c | 2,320$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Thunder | 77c | 2,283$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 39c | 2,100$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 18c | 2,050$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Thunder | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 45c | 1,948$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…0c22backed Kings | 21c | 1,927$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…58c0backed Kings | 20c | 1,900$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 41c | 1,814$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.65 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Thunder | 51c | 1,741$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 77c | 1,647$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 57c | 1,600$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 57c | 1,564$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Kings | 42c | 1,529$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kings | 21c | 1,524$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,443$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.26 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Thunder | 79c | 1,440$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Kings | 47c | 1,436$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.73 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Kings | 39c | 1,410$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings | 44c | 1,397$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.68 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 5c | 1,335$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Thunder | 77c | 1,326$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Kings | 18c | 1,288$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Kings | 19c | 1,266$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…7f41backed Thunder | 76c | 1,253$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 80c | 1,244$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.8 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Thunder | 63c | 1,201$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.34 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Thunder | 68c | 1,100$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.25 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Thunder | 56c | 1,079$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,070$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.71 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Kings | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Thunder | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Thunder | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Thunderthis page
- Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Kings won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.