TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$374,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c75,386$48,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,159.9730031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No38c34,845$13,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,603.9816331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No36c34,279$12,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,980.1214732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c30,294$13,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,263.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes62c30,000$18,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,600.022365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes67c22,482$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c16,565$6,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,472.7676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.736132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c11,088$4,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No36c9,028$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.681921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c7,712$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,273.5429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c7,485$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.2635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No37c6,666$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.6829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes76c5,757$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,379.712462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No45c5,267$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.046845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.998359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.989636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No40c4,675$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.216833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c4,248$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.161,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed Yes31c4,208$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.851225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5205930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No36c3,965$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.982352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No35c3,860$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.7428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No38c3,747$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.97630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed No39c2,811$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes66c2,800$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.882152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes41c2,562$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes53c2,511$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.077740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes53c2,500$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.466237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No15c2,442$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.78321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes64c2,344$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+57.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No34c2,100$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.9823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2804751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No10c1,964$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes58c1,850$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.558332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes18c1,602$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed No35c1,587$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.062665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc197…709fbacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes62c1,534$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94522421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Yes31c1,488$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No35c1,280$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8327247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes59c1,263$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.5215763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes64c1,100$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes58c1,028$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6609140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No37c994.59$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.593928.2%11 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes64c954$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No38c900$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55819224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafc4…62b4backed Yes23c869.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No26c844.87$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.744845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes62c828.87$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes63c795.49$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes63c714.29$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No47c681.37$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5116841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No35c620.52$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.345349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes40c617.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x471d…cd8fbacked Yes38c598.32$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes65c592.31$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38531554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes63c585.71$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36914052.1%73 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No56c561$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1923738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes62c507.07$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3164961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c501.44$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3610748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes29c491.15$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.764837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes31c480.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b1…344dbacked Yes54c479.39$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…7b64backed Yes56c471$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes62c469.13$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.863560%21 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes66c451.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011137.8%42 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No64c429.54$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.47034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes63c412.7$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No34c404.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1220322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes60c400$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No34c394.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4713654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes65c390.72$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.972352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No79c375.58$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9118641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No69c340$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.029145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb342…418ebacked Yes63c320$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No40c316.59$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.951747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes77c316.41$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.664344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6e…c807backed Yes63c314.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b42…92a1backed Yes64c313.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7b…32a6backed Yes64c311.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.331050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d9…4c90backed Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.