TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No27c16,876$4,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,507.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No12c4,737$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.416845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c3,709$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.0835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes49c3,076$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.32152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.052740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.969636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No25c1,978$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.8713131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Yes52c1,700$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes50c1,694$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.06425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes30c1,311$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.862934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No21c1,108$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6434630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Yes17c1,071$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes66c1,025$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.36238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes74c999.04$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0521850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c993.08$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes27c959.78$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.642733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Yes49c816.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c754.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.995230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No70c753.88$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0216833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes75c676$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.749145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed No24c566.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes26c538.13$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.135334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No24c505$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0721444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes72c500$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes28c429.83$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.786331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Yes70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No32c370.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.787032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes77c348$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4818641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes29c345.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.251931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes16c288.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No20c272.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.039845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2058…cf57backed Yes40c253.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd180…aa0cbacked No74c238.05$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.161050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No25c236.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…9aa7backed Yes17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c235.11$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3310748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes80c226.95$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.881,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d6e…c807backed Yes68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…51d0backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5376…f7cfbacked No63c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c195$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.671650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes26c156.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.782114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No74c148.26$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.314537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c146$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.584353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8627951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes27c140.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.742755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x659b…e764backed Yes67c129.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes30c127.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.087058.6%41 W · 29 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c125.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.191,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes51c117.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9317851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84f…ac92backed No51c116.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes70c115.23$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.85547.3%26 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Yes15c102.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.364845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7415128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes24c88.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.933426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.924517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x383c…d1b8backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes26c61.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.54628.1%5 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Yes23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Yes67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc64…9aa7backed Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3b…6685backed Yes35c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No33c56.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6314948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdddf…a2bcbacked Yes46c53.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+79.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254055%22 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ab…b10abacked Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes27c49.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.494751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes27c49.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.343141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Yes57c41.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked No49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No30c38.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4911552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes41c34.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No74c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.047030%21 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x562c…e035backed Yes71c31.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c1…f919backed Yes75c30.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked No66c30.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2f6…afe5backed No53c29.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes80c28.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.727163.4%45 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Yes72c27.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No75c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.257350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4881…be1cbacked Yes71c26.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No75c26.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203080%24 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.