Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a046dbc9222c9790c844c64e93f6e63f43ce466bf10d1b8cc1e98257d44e3c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 22,536$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.49 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 13c | 21,428$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 12c | 12,991$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.84 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 8c | 8,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 12c | 6,898$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.82 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 5,174$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.79 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 11c | 5,170$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.72 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 4,958$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.92 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…e083backed Yes | 4c | 4,041$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 5c | 2,838$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,829$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,705$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Yes | 11c | 1,652$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…41dbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,394$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…62b4backed Yes | 9c | 1,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…4e93backed Yes | 9c | 1,046$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 1,017$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,015$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 8c | 892.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 12c | 810.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 4c | 724.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 7c | 719.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 10c | 713.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 700.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…5309backed Yes | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 14c | 692.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 9c | 621.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 607.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 10c | 596.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 546.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 529.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 516.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 11c | 495.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 8c | 487.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 11c | 435.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 10c | 389.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 9c | 324.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 13c | 213.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 10c | 183$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…68e1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 8c | 174.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 12c | 160.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 7c | 155.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 11c | 136.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…b7efbacked Yes | 8c | 130.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…2df0backed Yes | 12c | 107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 14c | 93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…b4fcbacked Yes | 12c | 84.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.