NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf750039ad8b39525a28c77e33e61e0d2bb2d50673cfe688004d6b85555a77be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,745,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,833,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,745,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Magic | 43c | 818,394$350,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468,393.94 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Magic | 39c | 561,903$221,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340,777.16 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pistons | 59c | 375,000$220,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,878.01 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Pistons | 61c | 374,604$228,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,508.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 40c | 184,645$73,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,786.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 60c | 179,575$106,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,865.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 50c | 134,701$67,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,049.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 60c | 117,942$70,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,482.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 56c | 110,000$61,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,400 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 58c | 101,687$59,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,486.2 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Pistons | 60c | 85,495$51,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,695.87 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 40c | 70,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 38c | 63,027$24,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,995.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Magic | 63c | 58,816$37,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,776.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Pistons | 57c | 53,591$30,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,740.56 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 41c | 50,727$20,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,646.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons | 58c | 50,114$29,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,245.87 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 62c | 49,161$30,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,350.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pistons | 38c | 38,162$14,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,469.6 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Magic | 39c | 35,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,399.92 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…c3d2backed Pistons | 60c | 31,413$18,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,847.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 59c | 28,012$16,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,580.33 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Pistons | 38c | 27,437$10,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,477.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 42c | 26,561$11,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,426.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 57c | 25,589$14,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,570.53 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 15c | 23,830$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…0141backed Pistons | 78c | 23,559$18,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,383.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 41c | 22,313$9,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,064.57 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 40c | 21,214$8,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,676.87 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 42c | 20,078$8,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,620.86 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Pistons | 60c | 19,800$11,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,867 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Magic | 41c | 19,800$8,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,669 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…81debacked Magic | 40c | 18,750$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 46c | 16,567$7,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.12 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Pistons | 57c | 15,667$8,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,895.7 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 41c | 15,136$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Pistons | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Pistons | 58c | 14,443$8,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,376.94 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Pistons | 62c | 13,640$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,429.65 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Magic | 41c | 12,100$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 50c | 11,924$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 60c | 11,667$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons | 60c | 11,308$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.16 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Magic | 44c | 11,056$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200.23 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 42c | 10,637$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 42c | 10,259$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pistons | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 6c | 10,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 66c | 8,545$5,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.32 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Pistons | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pistons | 59c | 8,231$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.09 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pistons | 60c | 8,000$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.26 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 57c | 7,749$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.35 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 44c | 7,578$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.46 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Pistons | 68c | 7,555$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.21 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Magic | 38c | 7,521$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.71 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pistons | 35c | 7,426$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.03 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…278fbacked Pistons | 60c | 7,243$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Pistons | 60c | 7,200$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Magic | 41c | 7,000$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.54 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 58c | 6,943$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.88 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…7954backed Pistons | 59c | 6,500$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 55c | 6,169$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Pistons | 54c | 6,074$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.84 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188f…c19dbacked Magic | 42c | 6,071$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 41c | 5,876$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.94 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pistons | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…81f7backed Pistons | 63c | 5,328$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 39c | 5,265$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…d067backed Magic | 39c | 5,083$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Magic | 42c | 5,033$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.33 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Pistons | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Pistons | 29c | 4,900$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.17 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Magic | 41c | 4,879$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.6 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Magic | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 39c | 4,500$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.35 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 32c | 4,297$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.01 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 16c | 3,755$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.37 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Pistons | 58c | 3,719$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.96 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Pistons | 12c | 3,644$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Magic | 45c | 3,635$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Pistons | 55c | 3,630$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.39 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Pistons | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 40c | 3,345$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.67 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 66c | 3,311$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.88 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Pistons | 43c | 3,291$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.32 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pistons | 59c | 3,263$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Pistons | 26c | 3,145$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.31 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons | 60c | 3,045$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.92 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Pistons | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Pistons | 58c | 3,000$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Pistons | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Magic | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed Pistons | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Pistons | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Pistons | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistonsthis page
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.