NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd2e47b4dd492d46d70a6dda4ee0a157665cad4cd9434ee07a590d2e7955998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Over | 48c | 6,185$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,414$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Over | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 3,124$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 47c | 2,851$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,565$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.29 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 50c | 953.82$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.12 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 50c | 915.38$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.21 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Under | 70c | 706$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…d80abacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 437$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 49c | 404.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 396$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 354$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Under | 51c | 334$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 291.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 285.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…6bffbacked Over | 53c | 205$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 197$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 51c | 173$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 116.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 67.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 64.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 53c | 56.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 48c | 55.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…806dbacked Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 30c | 35.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 47c | 22.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a7a4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5this page
- Magic vs. PistonsMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.