NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b92898f6db6badbf91441330edf53a4925e351741273c07a7bec48016d8448a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 48c | 38,903$18,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,673.45 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Magic | 52c | 38,654$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,554.03 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…004ebacked Magic | 53c | 37,799$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,718.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 51c | 36,348$18,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,810.38 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 32,689$15,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,298.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Pistons | 49c | 11,858$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pistons | 49c | 10,594$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.06 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 49c | 10,460$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.4 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 48c | 6,272$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Pistons | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Magic | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Magic | 50c | 5,550$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.9 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 52c | 5,120$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0d41backed Magic | 51c | 4,706$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Pistons | 50c | 2,874$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.77 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 48c | 2,870$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.53 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 47c | 2,113$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,954$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,773$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pistons | 48c | 1,447$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.65 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Pistons | 49c | 1,376$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Magic | 51c | 1,292$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.16 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 47c | 870.71$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…cfa6backed Magic | 56c | 520.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 55c | 504.66$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Pistons | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Pistons | 50c | 444.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 48c | 432.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Pistons | 49c | 412.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Pistons | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Magic | 51c | 341.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Magic | 52c | 309.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 51c | 306.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons | 50c | 300.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Pistons | 48c | 269.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pistons | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Pistons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Magic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Magic | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pistons | 48c | 150.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Magic | 51c | 116.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Pistons | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pistons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Magic | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Magic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…184cbacked Pistons | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Pistons | 48c | 79.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Pistons | 50c | 69.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Pistons | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Pistons | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pistons | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons | 48c | 37.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Magic | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Pistons | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Magic | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…e9adbacked Pistons | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Pistons | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked Pistons | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- Magic vs. PistonsMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.