Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e125de55d646f72e4d6c869e2559dd9c3fe0eadb2740b746a20720f9960ed46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,590,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,624,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,590,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df1…aa1ebacked Yes | 55c | 365,852$202,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,108.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 45c | 198,357$90,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,352.94 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 54c | 165,647$90,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,079.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 147,854$66,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,319.83 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 136,000$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,800.02 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 33c | 98,164$32,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,770.12 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 68,191$25,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,112.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 78c | 61,992$48,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,353.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 55c | 50,882$27,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,985.1 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 45c | 50,600$22,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,709.97 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 54c | 46,586$25,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,154.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.96 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 19,788$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,839.97 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 46c | 16,750$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 55c | 16,727$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 47c | 16,085$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,525.05 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 46c | 15,760$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510.29 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.98 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 14,728$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 78c | 14,351$11,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,237.19 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 53c | 13,882$7,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,357.46 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 49c | 13,725$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed No | 49c | 12,384$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 45c | 11,789$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.89 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 23c | 11,672$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.23 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 11,332$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,701.14 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 58c | 10,011$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.97 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 78c | 9,608$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.66 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 47c | 9,574$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.22 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 8,758$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 46c | 8,443$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.69 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 48c | 8,348$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.79 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 43c | 7,984$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.35 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 46c | 7,922$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.75 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 77c | 7,750$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,967.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 55c | 7,269$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…29cabacked No | 46c | 7,057$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 7,000$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.28 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 46c | 7,000$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.09 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 46c | 6,521$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 6,345$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.08 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed No | 46c | 6,010$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Yes | 58c | 5,820$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 35c | 4,896$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.83 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 38c | 4,571$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.04 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 4,495$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.01 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 55c | 4,372$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 4,313$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 46c | 4,228$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.99 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Yes | 59c | 4,102$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 28c | 4,079$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.28 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 46c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 56c | 3,481$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.49 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed No | 46c | 3,264$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 9c | 3,239$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.11 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 3,134$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.87 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 78c | 3,091$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.39 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 53c | 2,849$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.08 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 47c | 2,815$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.78 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 68c | 2,812$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 58c | 2,780$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.03 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,542$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.17 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,456$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 53c | 2,357$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.88 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes | 4c | 2,336$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 53c | 2,253$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 46c | 2,223$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.24 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…db69backed Yes | 79c | 2,167$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 46c | 2,130$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 34c | 2,100$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 55c | 2,093$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 49c | 2,071$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.6 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 47c | 2,029$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.73 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 54c | 2,017$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.18 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 46c | 2,000$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.08 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 48c | 1,852$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.76 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 1,843$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.16 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 46c | 1,841$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.95 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.