Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1052bf753ccc99bdf319331865476bf294f3299d1ce25901b399fb77a71a047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $972,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,130,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $972,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 77c | 61,047$47,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,005.93 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 78c | 39,014$30,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,431.09 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 37,150$28,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,461.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 25c | 30,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.98 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 24c | 28,867$6,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,939.3 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 26,324$19,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,768.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 22c | 22,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.97 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.88 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 22c | 18,182$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,181.82 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Yes | 80c | 16,809$13,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 77c | 16,692$12,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,847.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 22c | 15,801$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,341.23 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 16c | 15,482$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,081.58 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes | 23c | 15,379$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,868.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 14,490$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,154.59 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 2c | 13,547$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.03 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 23c | 13,040$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,040.8 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 11,928$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 19c | 11,720$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,519.81 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 23c | 11,215$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,645.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 79c | 10,950$8,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.38 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 10,701$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,219.17 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 17c | 10,294$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,583.19 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes | 22c | 9,372$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 9,234$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 8,483$6,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,524.29 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 25c | 8,002$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 21c | 7,520$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.42 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 23c | 7,252$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.02 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 13c | 7,057$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171.96 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 78c | 6,660$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 22c | 6,600$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.93 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 26c | 5,713$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 78c | 5,300$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.94 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 22c | 4,750$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 70c | 4,638$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.68 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed Yes | 23c | 4,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,360$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.42 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 77c | 4,016$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.81 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 74c | 3,804$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.82 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,050$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.95 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 73c | 2,777$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.91 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 22c | 2,750$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 22c | 2,627$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.08 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,400$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 5c | 2,350$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,346$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.42 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 2,326$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.39 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,280$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 22c | 2,272$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.84 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 2,149$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.86 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…74bdbacked Yes | 77c | 2,133$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…350dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,036$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +450%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.01 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…af76backed Yes | 39c | 1,875$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…c755backed Yes | 25c | 1,826$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.18 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,811$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.69 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 9c | 1,749$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 77c | 1,736$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.57 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Yes | 18c | 1,684$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.67 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Yes | 23c | 1,504$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,409$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.95 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…c878backed Yes | 24c | 1,399$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,383$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.98 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed Yes | 20c | 1,370$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Yes | 31c | 1,357$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3b…962fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,351$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +285.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 23c | 1,306$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,290$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 25c | 1,250$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,192$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.73 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 33c | 1,048$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.57 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 76c | 1,021$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.96 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 27c | 1,020$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.29 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.83 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.28 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.