Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3575778661adb7dc8f55f4a6dabea20ead34f564771f14f6804e80ed53310a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 25c | 100,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 75c | 30,154$22,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,538.47 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 26c | 29,087$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 23c | 22,500$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.63 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 22,146$16,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.66 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 20,909$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.7 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 76c | 15,256$11,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.4 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 40c | 14,647$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,775.51 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 11,479$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 6,500$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.81 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Yes | 25c | 5,118$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 24c | 4,750$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 55c | 3,750$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.13 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 3,400$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 22c | 3,222$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.7 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 24c | 2,758$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 75c | 2,695$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 12c | 2,310$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.37 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 2,252$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 2,248$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.74 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 43c | 2,202$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,117$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.54 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 24c | 1,992$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 50c | 1,439$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.13 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 1,387$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…6e92backed No | 60c | 1,336$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 56c | 1,248$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 25c | 1,152$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed Yes | 61c | 1,086$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 954.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed No | 75c | 900.42$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…eae7backed Yes | 39c | 848.13$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 56c | 800$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 25c | 785.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 76c | 767.11$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes | 25c | 747.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 25c | 701.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 24c | 687.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 669.33$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 21c | 651.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 16c | 645$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…fd34backed Yes | 18c | 565.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 25c | 529.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 500.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…3a32backed Yes | 24c | 495.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 23c | 489.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 21c | 480.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 53c | 449.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 28c | 443.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Yes | 24c | 435$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 24c | 407.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 73c | 385.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 6c | 362.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 362$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 360.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 24c | 345.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 24c | 341.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 25c | 330$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 62c | 322.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 298.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 75c | 241.38$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.