Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d4f2ef821489e48d9f84943b1c7ad96058304fee4ab89992d90e34c0b88afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes | 60c | 10,085$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 41c | 9,158$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 8,885$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.13 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 5,792$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.56 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 4,821$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.41 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 4,208$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.9 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Yes | 62c | 3,081$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 58c | 2,334$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 2,228$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.96 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 2,108$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.54 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 38c | 2,080$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.01 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 60c | 1,588$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fa…deaabacked Yes | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 50c | 1,489$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.5 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 35c | 1,450$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 1,062$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.18 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes | 61c | 501.77$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 40c | 498.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 483.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 60c | 483.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 39c | 401.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 389.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 359.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 37c | 317$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 60c | 304.6$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 40c | 250.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed No | 38c | 238.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…9e8dbacked Yes | 60c | 222.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…d90dbacked No | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 201$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…2ba7backed Yes | 60c | 179.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…00fcbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…8b87backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…3ec7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…e22bbacked Yes | 60c | 164.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 61c | 164.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…45e6backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 60c | 124.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 38c | 124.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…7affbacked Yes | 60c | 119.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 52c | 119$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Yes | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Yes | 60c | 103.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No | 42c | 100.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 61c | 90.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…2032backed Yes | 59c | 87.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…5e42backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…8f35backed Yes | 59c | 71.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 60c | 70.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab83…0294backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 61c | 64.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 39c | 64.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 59c | 63.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…04edbacked Yes | 64c | 62.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 45c | 62.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 33c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…6cc2backed Yes | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 61c | 54.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.