Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b9a8ac31f7edaceb48e9a01a4b3106cd7c56c2bea60d5935e21ba26b54e675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 21,580$9,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,752.44 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 18,852$8,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,489.9 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 6,341$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.87 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 5,743$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.18 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Over | 55c | 5,409$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 55c | 4,197$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Over | 56c | 3,818$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 55c | 3,525$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.03 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 55c | 2,836$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 50c | 2,240$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 54c | 2,200$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.99 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 48c | 2,066$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 1,983$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.58 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 1,886$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.03 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…6e74backed Over | 58c | 1,722$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 44c | 1,311$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.8 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Under | 49c | 1,300$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.61 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 901.12$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 56c | 700.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 80c | 580.56$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Over | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 55c | 529$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Under | 45c | 518.26$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 503.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…ab6fbacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 18c | 495.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 54c | 461.54$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 56c | 423.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 47c | 421.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 55c | 418.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 55c | 341.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 55c | 287.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 53c | 249.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 54c | 244.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 79c | 236.27$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 225.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 46c | 223$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Over | 71c | 206.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Under | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 55c | 198.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 53c | 194.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 55c | 182.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Over | 55c | 182.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 56c | 179.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Over | 57c | 174.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 46c | 159.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 56c | 153.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…677fbacked Over | 70c | 143.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 44c | 135.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 44c | 135.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Under | 44c | 128.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 55c | 116.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Under | 47c | 116.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 48c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 72c | 108.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 56c | 106.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 103.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 46c | 102.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.