Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9049484e451b17add24dca5766882fea3f1111650466bc9bfc0afeebb99863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 61c | 181,975$111,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,352.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 62c | 170,886$105,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,992.76 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 38c | 149,061$57,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,174.13 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 60c | 45,000$27,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,996.36 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 39c | 43,230$17,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,044.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 38c | 42,068$16,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,112.25 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 40c | 37,833$14,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,997.23 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 40c | 32,468$13,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,032.28 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 40c | 30,808$12,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,476.26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed No | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 38c | 25,689$9,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,686.41 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 37c | 22,059$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 39c | 16,952$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 39c | 16,471$6,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.78 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 60c | 16,150$9,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.32 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 42c | 15,548$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 41c | 15,222$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,177.96 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 41c | 14,339$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Yes | 73c | 13,611$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 7c | 11,472$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.59 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 10,001$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.52 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 9,827$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 9,453$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.26 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 61c | 8,602$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 41c | 8,395$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…d404backed Yes | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 61c | 5,916$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 41c | 5,042$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.23 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 61c | 5,001$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.48 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 62c | 4,905$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.95 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 62c | 4,873$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.08 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 39c | 4,219$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.64 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 45c | 3,933$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.58 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,531$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 32c | 3,441$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.31 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 58c | 3,275$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 68c | 3,241$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.42 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…d33abacked Yes | 65c | 3,074$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,880$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.8 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 45c | 2,575$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,352$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.51 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,329$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.89 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 2,304$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.36 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 56c | 2,040$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.64 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 63c | 1,955$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 41c | 1,940$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 40c | 1,891$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 62c | 1,751$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.95 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 40c | 1,700$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 41c | 1,630$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 40c | 1,597$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.83 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 65c | 1,536$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.15 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 48c | 1,465$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 38c | 1,410$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.16 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 40c | 1,404$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.56 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,362$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 40c | 1,344$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 61c | 1,325$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Yes | 58c | 1,158$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 4c | 1,111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 60c | 1,085$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 40c | 1,073$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.2 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 38c | 1,043$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…5c27backed Yes | 65c | 998.46$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052b…625fbacked Yes | 63c | 892.14$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 60c | 865$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 52c | 812.55$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 38c | 800.24$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.75 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 799.89$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 64c | 779.88$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…9645backed No | 26c | 763.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 61c | 718.28$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 62c | 702.21$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Yes | 64c | 701.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 40c | 700$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 694.12$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 61c | 671.17$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 27c | 659.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 33c | 605.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.91 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 37c | 600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 59c | 573.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 74c | 541.45$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes | 66c | 539.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 508.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.