Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ebfc091f29565f6b931b9a913073af8b0132f2315920830420d909f70c5602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 37,487$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 18c | 15,645$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 16c | 15,312$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.9 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 5,447$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,050$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 16c | 2,554$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.57 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,440$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,338$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 15c | 2,299$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.01 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 17c | 2,029$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 25c | 1,155$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 1,116$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,071$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 23c | 1,052$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.04 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 15c | 967$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…fb82backed Yes | 17c | 940.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4976backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 792.63$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.68 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 14c | 776.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 26c | 672.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 16c | 668.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 658.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 623$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 63c | 501$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 16c | 437.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Yes | 17c | 426.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 17c | 418$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 64c | 416$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yes | 4c | 371.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…0590backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 16c | 241.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 18c | 186.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 185$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7355backed Yes | 23c | 136.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 129.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1439backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…83a6backed Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 110.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 17c | 70.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 18c | 65.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…46cabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 69c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.