Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6279ac43a3fbd958cd5592def274e382ff5cda599fa1949ae317545ff5c4792e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 9,572$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 3,855$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 73c | 3,767$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 76c | 2,851$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.35 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 29c | 2,330$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.05 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 17c | 2,006$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 78c | 1,940$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 24c | 1,248$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 22c | 796$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 19c | 751.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 3c | 631.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4976backed Yes | 24c | 322.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…0590backed Yes | 26c | 321.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 38c | 265.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 79c | 235.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 75c | 212.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 20c | 146.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 36c | 102.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…a9f2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…8970backed Yes | 23c | 84.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…6f51backed Yes | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 48.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…264dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccd5…c59bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…722fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…56ebbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…3680backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa604…5c14backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…056abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…eb1cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…caeebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…f85dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…3e5fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…59b9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…f0dcbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.