Token Launches · resolved market
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615fd5f2c13812a00e7e6caefe91b40df26bc453cef9fb86d1356a40d3c92fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 53c | 10,929$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.23 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 7,752$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,257$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Yes | 57c | 4,151$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 61c | 3,695$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…b8b6backed Yes | 70c | 3,404$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 1c | 3,220$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 27c | 3,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed Yes | 68c | 2,951$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…935abacked No | 69c | 2,770$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 36c | 2,690$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.58 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,352$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 50c | 2,018$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.14 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.12 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed Yes | 78c | 1,917$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 15c | 1,700$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 76c | 1,652$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.09 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 20c | 1,484$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 31c | 1,244$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 34c | 1,215$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.63 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 73c | 1,188$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…0206backed Yes | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 905.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 835.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 808.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 50c | 770.3$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 753$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 5c | 730$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 722.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…c0abbacked Yes | 76c | 699.99$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 3c | 693.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…0653backed Yes | 3c | 668.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 654.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked Yes | 11c | 639.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed Yes | 13c | 621.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 80c | 605.24$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 35c | 599.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.19 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 4c | 573.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 29c | 555$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.05 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 4c | 529.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…ee3ebacked Yes | 77c | 517.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 510$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 6c | 459.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 459.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +230.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed Yes | 11c | 456.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d3…6781backed Yes | 4c | 449.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…7c5cbacked No | 67c | 439.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 62c | 406.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…aefabacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…bf24backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…18a1backed No | 56c | 373.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…00d4backed No | 29c | 342.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +12.3wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…5fabbacked No | 44c | 329.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 62c | 324.64$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…c007backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…a4f7backed Yes | 6c | 289.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +3,504.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc416…8bd5backed No | 35c | 287.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes | 72c | 279.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…02ccbacked Yes | 75c | 265.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 76c | 261.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…bfeabacked No | 26c | 260$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 21c | 257.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…66cfbacked No | 39c | 256.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…9337backed No | 78c | 241.04$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Yes | 23c | 235.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…60cfbacked Yes | 6c | 233.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 79c | 210$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 24c | 204.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…b390backed Yes | 67c | 191.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…87acbacked No | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 181.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…0362backed No | 34c | 180$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…5cb2backed No | 27c | 175.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…6b4cbacked No | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 64c | 169.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…5a00backed No | 28c | 161.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 20c | 147.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…b738backed Yes | 60c | 131.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 20c | 129.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…040bbacked No | 33c | 129.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…0b4dbacked Yes | 32c | 127.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e99…a10cbacked No | 32c | 123.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 39c | 115.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…f065backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +8.5wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 64c | 91.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…384ebacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Fabric public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?Yes won
- Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.