Token Launches · resolved market
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c71bba0e8e766476862343069a989f37fe6f6ff1a50e38e177eee2a04fe6ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d32…0fb9backed No | 62c | 8,719$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.54 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 75c | 8,248$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,706$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 23c | 4,855$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.94 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 37c | 3,942$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.63 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,831$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 68c | 3,665$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.63 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 25c | 3,593$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.04 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 75c | 3,046$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,674$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.09 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 79c | 2,667$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 58c | 2,461$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.37 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 25c | 1,742$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 19c | 1,707$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 51c | 1,700$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.51 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 16c | 1,560$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,489$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.93 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 21c | 1,436$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.51 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +230.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed Yes | 13c | 1,400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 75c | 1,331$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.4 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 31c | 1,288$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.84 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 38c | 1,097$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.95 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,053$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 68c | 1,033$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.44 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…da2bbacked Yes | 75c | 968.76$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…7b21backed No | 24c | 957.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 77c | 946.34$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…7c5cbacked No | 50c | 928.82$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…b309backed No | 30c | 811.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…0190backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 75c | 791.3$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 35c | 746.07$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…3c6ebacked No | 9c | 687.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 41c | 618.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 18c | 617.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.88 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 46c | 614.71$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.93 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed No | 77c | 584.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…2a28backed Yes | 72c | 579.99$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed No | 33c | 560.58$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…aad2backed Yes | 71c | 554.33$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…3213backed Yes | 17c | 534.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 32c | 514.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…a901backed Yes | 38c | 505.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed Yes | 77c | 502$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 41c | 497.03$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 75c | 492.37$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 41c | 490.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…5fabbacked No | 64c | 462.84$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…bf24backed Yes | 13c | 450$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 47c | 445.27$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 424.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 55c | 419.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…e214backed Yes | 48c | 414.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…7c67backed No | 78c | 412.65$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked Yes | 28c | 377.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…1979backed Yes | 11c | 345.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…cf00backed No | 31c | 332.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed No | 68c | 320$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 13c | 317.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…5f05backed Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 34c | 294.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 294.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…a0aabacked Yes | 27c | 285$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…6b4cbacked No | 26c | 278.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…87acbacked No | 28c | 263.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…cb0abacked Yes | 38c | 257.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…9337backed No | 79c | 253.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 252.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…c068backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked No | 27c | 240$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…00d4backed No | 17c | 238.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +12.3wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…4bf8backed No | 70c | 230.66$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…0653backed Yes | 20c | 228.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 75c | 218.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 72c | 217.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…cb14backed Yes | 60c | 215.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 14c | 214.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…aefabacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked No | 23c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed Yes | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…c934backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…18a1backed No | 16c | 185.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 23c | 182.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 42c | 179.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed No | 59c | 170$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…2a23backed Yes | 9c | 157.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…66cfbacked No | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 148.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 15c | 139.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 45c | 138.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…ccfcbacked Yes | 37c | 134.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e29fbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e99…a10cbacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 33c | 130.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Fabric public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?Yes won
- Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.