TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9c7…d9e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.42
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.44
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$447.46
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.98
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.78
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.79
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+200.4%+$400.84
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$286.2
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+487.2%+$974.44
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.25
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.65
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.2%+$123.56
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+250.9%+$501.75
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+119.5%+$416.65
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,950
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$215.4
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.8%+$1,098.93
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$149.35
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+379.8%+$189.9
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$514.32
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$338.93
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+64%+$191.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$990
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+164%+$163.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$121.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.