Token Launches · resolved market
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08903454dd889b2458ab58b786df04f876d26dc75ca71db536b628e810fe8c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 52c | 21,941$11,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,598.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…bb25backed No | 0c | 19,454$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 50c | 8,746$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.26 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…b53abacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 40c | 4,328$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.72 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 33c | 3,951$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.75 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…f0d6backed No | 52c | 3,239$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 40c | 2,946$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.47 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…b04fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,661$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed No | 46c | 2,216$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.81 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…6c43backed No | 47c | 1,927$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…961fbacked No | 45c | 1,895$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…a58ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,805$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.14 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed No | 41c | 1,656$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.79 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 47c | 1,535$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.07 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea9…bdc1backed No | 22c | 1,366$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 69c | 1,339$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.58 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 25c | 1,275$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.61 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 41c | 1,151$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.42 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…8a1abacked Yes | 71c | 1,100$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 75c | 914.38$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed No | 28c | 859.62$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 37c | 835.6$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 77c | 812.65$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…2bcfbacked Yes | 64c | 754.94$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 23c | 700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…3cbfbacked Yes | 52c | 644.46$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 43c | 607.44$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 43c | 586.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.44 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 14c | 563.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…cd57backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…5ff5backed No | 40c | 460.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked No | 22c | 400.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 344.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1749…3ff4backed No | 50c | 332.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…0c9abacked Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…9034backed No | 16c | 271.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…b11dbacked Yes | 60c | 251.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…3627backed No | 39c | 234.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 76c | 234.27$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 221.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…1accbacked Yes | 59c | 220$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 14c | 213.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed Yes | 47c | 211.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 19c | 210.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…5c65backed No | 10c | 204.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…983dbacked Yes | 80c | 197.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 22c | 192.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…d14fbacked No | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd223…5ec2backed No | 37c | 177.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…46b8backed Yes | 73c | 144.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 62c | 135.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…05fdbacked No | 32c | 112.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…f578backed No | 24c | 110.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…2d92backed Yes | 45c | 102.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…64a5backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…446dbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…186dbacked Yes | 64c | 94.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 11c | 94.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked Yes | 77c | 92.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…07d8backed Yes | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed No | 54c | 86.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…a6b9backed Yes | 59c | 83.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes | 67c | 83.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…3840backed Yes | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 48c | 77.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…aba1backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…b066backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed No | 30c | 59.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…ce26backed No | 31c | 57.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…b9b8backed No | 31c | 57.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…f961backed Yes | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…9169backed Yes | 68c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2f…40c2backed Yes | 52c | 53.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…8b0ebacked Yes | 47c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 49c | 39.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…372ebacked Yes | 43c | 39.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…44dbbacked No | 65c | 38.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…f801backed No | 52c | 37.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 32c | 35.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…4830backed Yes | 65c | 33.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 43c | 33.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…2e2fbacked Yes | 74c | 32.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes | 76c | 28.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…b3aebacked No | 49c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 53c | 25.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…d327backed Yes | 70c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +722%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…7ccbbacked Yes | 76c | 18.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?No won
- Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Fluent FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
- Fluent FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.