TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9210…8b0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.43
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$11.56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.28
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$20.81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$16.23
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.26
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.23
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.2
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.22
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.11
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.83
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.65
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.63
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.56
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$19.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$20.74
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+241.3%+$74.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$14.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+287.2%+$40.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-52.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Ostrava: Jonas Forejtek vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
La Bisbal: Varvara Lepchenko vs Laura Pigossibacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.24
Mauthausen: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.36
Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngoldbacked Diletta Cherubini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.4
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.95
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$16.33
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+204.5%+$117.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-80%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$7.02
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$14.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.