MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed53abba07d88f5187f3959bc1322b61c91bb77dac38f805e5c9b91f5a9207cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Baltimore Orioles, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 29,518$13,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 22,000$12,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,681.33 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 21,691$10,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,845.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.87 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 14,495$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,177.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 11,789$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 11,766$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.95 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 7,287$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.93 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 7,284$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 6,867$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.26 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 5,747$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 5,273$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.6 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…843cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,151$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 4,992$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 4,860$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,527$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 4,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 4,071$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 4,022$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 4,021$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.73 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 3,220$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.48 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 2,535$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.45 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 2,389$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 2,207$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 2,207$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 2,149$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 2,000$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.94 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.39 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…70ecbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,921$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,878$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.41 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 1,848$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,793$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,725$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b6…ceb1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,719$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…35d3backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,508$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,461$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,346$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,334$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.79 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,204$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,156$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,100$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,021$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 986.49$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 907.69$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.85 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 865.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 777$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 718.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 590.86$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 584.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 565.31$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 546.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 541.28$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 499.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 492.16$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 478.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 472.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 469.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 461.53$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 442.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 401.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 400.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 396.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 357.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 334.4$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 301.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 293.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 284.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4e98backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 278.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 260.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 255.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 255.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 248.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 226.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 215.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 213.23$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 212.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.