TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Kansas City Royals, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$419,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kansas City Royals48c104,799$50,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,255.3121040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics52c51,000$26,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,479.9877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Athletics52c43,124$22,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.388856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca1b…c69cbacked Kansas City Royals0c40,704$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals51c18,596$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,500.4851756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals48c15,044$7,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,145.921,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics43c11,628$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.9136047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Athletics52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Kansas City Royals57c9,969$5,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,705.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals26c9,658$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.212,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics51c9,016$4,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,372.95,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics51c8,856$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.263,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals0c8,610$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.518762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Athletics52c7,509$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.1759549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals44c7,026$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.6912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Kansas City Royals48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3605743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Athletics46c6,158$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.442,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals33c5,856$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.588,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Athletics50c5,762$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.9428258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Athletics52c5,321$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.0314042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Kansas City Royals2c4,861$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.227341.1%30 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics58c4,751$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.4448850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Kansas City Royals53c4,188$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21120350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals11c3,545$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.181,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Athletics52c3,435$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.4128944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals4c3,423$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.391,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals32c3,307$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.9910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Kansas City Royals3c3,290$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Athletics47c3,117$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.327132.4%23 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Athletics52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals27c3,016$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.381,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Athletics52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas City Royals8c2,896$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9731039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Kansas City Royals53c2,826$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5018353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals49c2,575$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.5689153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics59c2,522$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.831,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Athletics53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94019053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Athletics52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96027451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Athletics69c1,936$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8919143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals26c1,894$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.929,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics48c1,837$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.412,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals48c1,610$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.864,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals4c1,281$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.051,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Kansas City Royals34c1,129$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals28c1,108$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Athletics52c1,076$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.4218151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Athletics52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48012640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf01a…cc6abacked Athletics53c978.21$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.761050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals9c941.06$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.161,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics52c904.97$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.66,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Kansas City Royals11c885.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6133515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics52c865.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.381,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics52c860$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Athletics54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7415749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Kansas City Royals19c692.13$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4119442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics42c689.14$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.895,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics74c668.47$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.966,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Kansas City Royals47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Kansas City Royals28c609.07$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17137941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals48c580$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Athletics55c510.08$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6480159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Kansas City Royals49c510$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.922548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Athletics52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Kansas City Royals49c493.04$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0439640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Athletics76c480.41$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.561,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Athletics52c457.18$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1816844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bac…0d22backed Athletics47c427.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Kansas City Royals45c400$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17959150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Kansas City Royals39c400$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15733864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Kansas City Royals48c394.42$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Athletics53c393.36$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1868353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d7a4backed Kansas City Royals49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Athletics52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Athletics52c384$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3214555.9%81 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Kansas City Royals22c377.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.042138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Athletics53c358.49$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals12c322.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.732,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Athletics52c315.31$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3150647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Athletics61c284.29$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9450337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Athletics53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0211947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Athletics53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0243247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Athletics47c267$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.21,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Athletics61c266$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6378649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Athletics71c262.39$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3937143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Kansas City Royals11c255.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2831032.9%102 W · 208 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics65c253.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.145,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Kansas City Royals14c235.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Athletics51c235.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.350949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics51c230.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.011,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Athletics52c229.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3240449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc39f…8f18backed Kansas City Royals17c229.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Kansas City Royals25c223.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0214643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Kansas City Royals20c221$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2449942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Athletics46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3939739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.848354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kansas City Royals48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Kansas City Royals49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Kansas City Royals17c203.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Athletics53c201.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8922248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.