NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb0e63262a597a84ece713aa8661ed18b20e49080be2a4b12853ae7b402bd22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habsof Sabres, Habs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Sabres | 64c | 115,128$73,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,503.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Sabres | 54c | 79,509$42,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,884.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Habs | 45c | 70,000$31,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,324.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 47c | 25,838$12,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,185.38 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…cd15backed Sabres | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Habs | 46c | 24,350$11,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,042.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Habs | 46c | 19,998$9,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,898.91 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Sabres | 54c | 15,000$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,054.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Habs | 48c | 14,798$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,717.51 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Sabres | 54c | 14,103$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Habs | 39c | 13,621$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,274.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Habs | 47c | 13,466$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,113.79 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Sabres | 36c | 10,553$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.04 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sabres | 52c | 9,729$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.92 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabres | 58c | 8,529$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.27 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sabres | 63c | 8,070$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.81 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Habs | 69c | 7,183$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Sabres | 44c | 7,075$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.75 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Sabres | 44c | 6,769$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Habs | 48c | 6,350$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.5 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Habs | 51c | 6,296$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.52 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Sabres | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Habs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 66c | 5,000$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.97 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Habs | 47c | 4,374$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 52c | 4,292$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.14 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Sabres | 65c | 4,291$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.79 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Sabres | 50c | 3,800$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Habs | 45c | 3,668$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.88 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Habs | 68c | 2,879$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.58 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Habs | 53c | 2,502$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.88 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09b…2a1abacked Sabres | 22c | 2,495$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Habs | 43c | 2,189$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.55 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Habs | 49c | 2,187$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.29 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a3…68efbacked Habs | 45c | 1,908$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Habs | 69c | 1,879$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.61 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Sabres | 28c | 1,688$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.26 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Sabres | 39c | 1,584$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sabres | 55c | 1,521$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.29 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…52b2backed Habs | 55c | 1,520$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Habs | 44c | 1,508$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.6 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…4aaabacked Sabres | 23c | 1,365$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sabres | 48c | 1,358$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.4 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sabres | 31c | 1,259$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Habs | 70c | 1,213$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.35 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Habs | 48c | 1,150$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.88 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Sabres | 66c | 1,088$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sabres | 48c | 1,041$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.13 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Sabres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Sabres | 50c | 994.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…cfb3backed Sabres | 59c | 835.26$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Habs | 78c | 822.4$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Sabres | 29c | 809.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…8557backed Habs | 35c | 786.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Sabres | 42c | 779.47$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.07 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Sabres | 52c | 777.21$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Sabres | 65c | 725.1$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Sabres | 68c | 647.62$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Sabres | 51c | 630.86$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…a101backed Sabres | 22c | 618.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Habs | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…000fbacked Sabres | 22c | 549$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Sabres | 18c | 546.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Habs | 51c | 543.02$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Habs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Sabres | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Habs | 62c | 498.87$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…293ebacked Habs | 46c | 469.68$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Habs | 78c | 456.75$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sabres | 65c | 438.15$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…38a7backed Sabres | 45c | 437.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…0378backed Sabres | 55c | 416.07$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Habs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…e460backed Habs | 48c | 408.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…6055backed Habs | 46c | 400.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Sabres | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Sabres | 24c | 392.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Habs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Habs | 80c | 379.43$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Habs | 50c | 379.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc8…5953backed Sabres | 22c | 376.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…d27bbacked Habs | 50c | 353.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Sabres | 65c | 317$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…de74backed Sabres | 52c | 313.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Sabres | 55c | 304.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…f4c9backed Habs | 41c | 296.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…c387backed Habs | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Habs | 69c | 292.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Habs | 41c | 249.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Sabres | 52c | 241.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Sabres | 13c | 230.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Sabres | 67c | 224.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Habs | 47c | 219.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19df…e8c7backed Habs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…e710backed Sabres | 46c | 212.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…8746backed Habs | 54c | 210.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…5951backed Habs | 34c | 209.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…093bbacked Habs | 49c | 204.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Habs | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Sabres | 51c | 197.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.