TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

La Bisbal: Varvara Lepchenko vs Laura Pigossi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Laura Pigossiof Varvara Lepchenko, Laura Pigossi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Lepchenko48c19,159$9,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,115.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Laura Pigossi48c16,315$7,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,454.2527846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Varvara Lepchenko6c7,183$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.162140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Laura Pigossi47c5,297$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.0185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Laura Pigossi27c3,524$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.932,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Varvara Lepchenko41c3,011$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.4154345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Varvara Lepchenko71c2,615$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.514,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Laura Pigossi13c2,273$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.719737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Laura Pigossi63c1,896$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Laura Pigossi11c1,847$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.6220412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Varvara Lepchenko64c1,555$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Varvara Lepchenko76c1,554$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…3196backed Laura Pigossi16c1,229$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.73540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Varvara Lepchenko67c1,205$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.94,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Varvara Lepchenko31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Varvara Lepchenko68c1,080$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.325,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Laura Pigossi56c1,078$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Varvara Lepchenko49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Laura Pigossi41c982.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3217044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Laura Pigossi67c797.01$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.754,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Varvara Lepchenko51c610.43$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.93,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Varvara Lepchenko18c600$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1729519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Varvara Lepchenko58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29045445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Laura Pigossi20c474.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4848214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Varvara Lepchenko66c428.68$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4137230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Varvara Lepchenko49c367.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Varvara Lepchenko61c315.05$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1515337.9%58 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Varvara Lepchenko31c272.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.666,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Laura Pigossi45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6717654.5%96 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Laura Pigossi39c264.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.354240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Varvara Lepchenko66c253.92$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.560355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Varvara Lepchenko39c233.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Laura Pigossi43c220.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9313525.9%35 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Varvara Lepchenko63c211.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.561,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Laura Pigossi44c211.36$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.361,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Laura Pigossi37c210.1$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x326d…1a3fbacked Varvara Lepchenko8c202.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.05650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Varvara Lepchenko63c201.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Laura Pigossi39c197.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5521149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Varvara Lepchenko26c193.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Laura Pigossi44c188.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6435436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Varvara Lepchenko61c174.17$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.421,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Varvara Lepchenko12c167.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x660b…9852backed Laura Pigossi45c166.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.435326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Laura Pigossi36c145.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2160856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Varvara Lepchenko61c144.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8824450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Varvara Lepchenko64c132.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7431841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Varvara Lepchenko61c130.3$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Varvara Lepchenko64c118$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5237741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Varvara Lepchenko25c106$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Laura Pigossi53c100.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.74,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695b…36c8backed Varvara Lepchenko64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…ed4ebacked Laura Pigossi66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346555.4%36 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Varvara Lepchenko49c98.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Varvara Lepchenko45c93.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.534526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Laura Pigossi75c93.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb381…f2acbacked Laura Pigossi25c86.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+166.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Varvara Lepchenko63c79.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9963052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Varvara Lepchenko30c72.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5815332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Laura Pigossi42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4322642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Laura Pigossi71c70.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.444151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Varvara Lepchenko62c68.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.214,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4db…3c70backed Varvara Lepchenko75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…e8a1backed Laura Pigossi56c63.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.928575.3%64 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Laura Pigossi72c62.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.711877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x892b…a096backed Varvara Lepchenko47c60.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Laura Pigossi39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8525…7adcbacked Varvara Lepchenko34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Varvara Lepchenko59c54.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1542558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Varvara Lepchenko56c52.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Varvara Lepchenko64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Varvara Lepchenko36c48.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5932240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Laura Pigossi39c47.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.932,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Varvara Lepchenko33c46.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2628348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Laura Pigossi22c46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8890340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Laura Pigossi63c42.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8170465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Varvara Lepchenko31c40.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Varvara Lepchenko52c39.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.442,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Laura Pigossi69c36.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3830672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Varvara Lepchenko58c34.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.291,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Varvara Lepchenko58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Varvara Lepchenko61c32.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9957052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Laura Pigossi38c32.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2033650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Varvara Lepchenko62c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5446848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Laura Pigossi42c31.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2615060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Varvara Lepchenko64c30.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7831563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Laura Pigossi67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.914770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Laura Pigossi67c29.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8136944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Varvara Lepchenko65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2555360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Varvara Lepchenko62c22.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9846565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9210…8b0ebacked Varvara Lepchenko75c22.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-52.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Laura Pigossi60c22.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0479951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Varvara Lepchenko63c20.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Varvara Lepchenko65c20.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1558067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Varvara Lepchenko55c19.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5839154.2%212 W · 179 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1864…0697backed Laura Pigossi74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…3827backed Varvara Lepchenko67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.