MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeaf63c4ef467e55ac10b35fcf9497b831e3842e0bac6d205d825d43c5aaa3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Kansas City Royals, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $663,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 104,251$52,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,125.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 104,203$52,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,643.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…8039backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 33,495$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.23 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 32,271$15,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,194.17 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 21,111$10,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555.5 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 14,789$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,098.95 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 14,073$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,755.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 13,813$10,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 13,544$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 13,422$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 13,048$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,947.43 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 11,564$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.13 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 11,447$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.94 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 10,360$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.52 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 9,829$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.25 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 9,732$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.92 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc517…89f5backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 6,822$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 6,626$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.18 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 6,348$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.45 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 6,319$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.54 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,816$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.09 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 5,608$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.12 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 5,507$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.76 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 5,051$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.49 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 5,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,908$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 4,860$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.08 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 4,421$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.08 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 4,172$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 4,037$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 3,693$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,650$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 3,325$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.16 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,217$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.3 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,001$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,817$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.91 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,370$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.1 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,199$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.98 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 2,090$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 2,039$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.55 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,011$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,773$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,736$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.12 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 1,600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +393.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 1,600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.95 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,480$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.32 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,479$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,469$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,464$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.88 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,419$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.55 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…56e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,231$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…53b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…ba42backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 1,144$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,099$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.74 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,039$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…da59backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 981.56$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.39 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 973.68$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.84 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 955$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.91 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 950.33$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 879.25$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.72 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 811.39$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 806.56$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 790$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 782.8$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.31 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 762.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 710.14$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 634.36$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 612.32$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 611.63$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 588.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 586.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 562.65$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.05 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 538.61$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 534.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 532.58$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 519.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.