Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f81f50d29b43799df512b52574cfe3ffbadfb62ddc71bacf89f4e0dc4c5ffed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,692,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,657,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,692,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 29c | 110,105$31,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,784.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 44c | 106,872$46,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,931.31 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 42c | 95,411$39,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,766.46 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 54c | 76,819$41,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,585.58 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 77c | 70,217$54,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,004.11 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 8c | 37,924$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.06 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed No | 60c | 33,889$20,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,635.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 43c | 31,259$13,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.11 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 49c | 26,462$12,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,557.29 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked No | 73c | 25,582$18,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…3a0abacked No | 68c | 25,365$17,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.59 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 22,258$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 0c | 19,757$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed No | 59c | 17,294$10,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 35c | 15,000$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 69c | 14,300$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…4c1abacked No | 51c | 13,924$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 11,297$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 17c | 10,923$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…1381backed Yes | 27c | 10,375$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 10,187$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,176$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…241ebacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 8,820$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.36 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 1c | 8,212$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 52c | 8,155$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.69 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 28c | 8,121$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 2c | 8,080$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 36c | 7,833$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.48 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed No | 64c | 7,455$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf798…9982backed No | 18c | 6,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +448.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…7919backed Yes | 36c | 6,460$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 17c | 6,457$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.87 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 66c | 6,294$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes | 28c | 5,453$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,353$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 5,265$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…0138backed No | 62c | 5,138$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 72c | 4,967$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.08 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,329$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Yes | 1c | 4,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…2a67backed Yes | 35c | 4,220$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…e45dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,100$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 79c | 3,988$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.76 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…a3a9backed Yes | 31c | 3,840$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…de98backed No | 16c | 3,800$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +535.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 3,441$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.81 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 3c | 3,284$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 8c | 3,275$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,264$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.82 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,193$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 77c | 3,002$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…7072backed Yes | 79c | 2,895$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…379bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,844$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,827$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…172fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,760$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…2763backed Yes | 42c | 2,745$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…48d4backed No | 21c | 2,699$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +387.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 65c | 2,690$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.09 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…5d41backed Yes | 49c | 2,677$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 72c | 2,565$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed Yes | 24c | 2,497$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 47c | 2,415$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.32 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…4ecdbacked No | 23c | 2,391$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 43c | 2,309$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.5 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…ff14backed No | 23c | 2,300$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 35c | 2,300$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.93 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…0134backed No | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 43c | 2,185$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…4f0cbacked No | 18c | 2,072$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +442.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 2,036$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.1 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…6d1bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…46cabacked No | 51c | 1,950$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0829…079bbacked No | 51c | 1,930$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576e…188cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,914$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…8877backed No | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 53c | 1,899$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 43c | 1,870$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…6907backed No | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…0b93backed No | 26c | 1,800$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +283%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed No | 13c | 1,753$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 1,684$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…effabacked Yes | 18c | 1,655$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 78c | 1,624$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…7e97backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 2c | 1,514$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…ff9ebacked No | 68c | 1,475$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Yes | 55c | 1,422$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…f4d4backed No | 59c | 1,380$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,368$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.05 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,315$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…5531backed Yes | 1c | 1,284$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,047$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 35c | 1,034$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 2c | 1,004$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Yes | 24c | 1,003$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.