Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ab024402ce8e8a2c36e1456640a2920a74b758fcdb4a7eb8c4c4a12e8c1476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,081,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $934,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,081,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 10c | 57,405$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.58 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 21c | 50,010$10,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,313.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 3c | 40,147$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.19 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…e1ebbacked No | 67c | 36,999$24,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,143.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 14c | 23,554$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.2 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 6c | 17,822$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed No | 71c | 17,077$12,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 72c | 15,924$11,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 6c | 15,659$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.19 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…683bbacked Yes | 24c | 14,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…4c2abacked Yes | 31c | 12,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…2184backed Yes | 3c | 11,688$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 9,998$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,868$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…1cc1backed Yes | 4c | 8,510$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.61 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 8,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 7,407$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 7,388$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,104$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,518$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 6,458$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 16c | 6,377$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.69 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 9c | 6,000$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.35 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,959$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.08 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…3144backed Yes | 2c | 5,652$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed No | 77c | 5,407$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.91 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 5c | 4,437$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 3c | 4,416$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 7c | 4,413$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 7c | 4,155$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 11c | 3,977$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.03 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…181dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,910$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,837$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 3,439$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,325$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…dc03backed Yes | 5c | 3,314$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…8276backed Yes | 1c | 3,222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes | 3c | 3,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 70c | 3,040$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.3 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…172fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,840$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 33c | 2,692$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.31 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 6c | 2,622$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 19c | 2,600$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…c9bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,404$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 33c | 2,390$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,375$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 76c | 2,219$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…64aebacked Yes | 7c | 2,080$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…871ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,067$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked Yes | 7c | 2,060$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…57d1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,789$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed Yes | 29c | 1,728$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…2217backed Yes | 1c | 1,606$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,585$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,546$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…4bc9backed Yes | 3c | 1,539$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 1,517$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…333bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,478$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 2c | 1,467$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,409$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 7c | 1,278$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,218$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…571cbacked No | 76c | 1,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…7382backed Yes | 1c | 1,165$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 30c | 1,106$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,047$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,047$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Yes | 34c | 979.23$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…f42ebacked Yes | 4c | 975.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…c43ebacked Yes | 36c | 953.14$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…d8f2backed Yes | 8c | 950.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 23c | 916.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…f42abacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aae…6a6fbacked Yes | 3c | 900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes | 6c | 842.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 5c | 788.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…c090backed Yes | 18c | 772.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…9806backed Yes | 2c | 761$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…51b2backed Yes | 6c | 698.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a3…d6b9backed Yes | 29c | 690.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 689.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…aca6backed Yes | 5c | 684.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ca…f5e6backed Yes | 2c | 643.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa076…e248backed Yes | 4c | 621.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…5724backed Yes | 3c | 585$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 30c | 576.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed No | 78c | 546.94$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 533.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…7f1dbacked Yes | 3c | 530.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.