Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63199edbfb7cc08cab4db928e9fc0dc689b6097fffe6d83054238cd2678d36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…2184backed Yes | 2c | 45,780$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 3c | 28,546$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.7 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 15c | 20,600$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.09 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 11c | 20,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 16c | 18,183$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 3c | 17,228$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…15bbbacked Yes | 2c | 12,798$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 11,569$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 6c | 11,489$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.26 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae2…805dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,225$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 3cpaid | +2,246.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…aca6backed Yes | 7c | 9,170$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 8,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…aeafbacked Yes | 1c | 6,134$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,401%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…64aebacked Yes | 5c | 5,773$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 5,517$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.86 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 5,410$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 5,384$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,925$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 9c | 4,460$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…fef7backed Yes | 2c | 4,118$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4902…9b08backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,736$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,372$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 3,248$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…df43backed Yes | 2c | 3,097$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,010$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…f38cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,984$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked Yes | 3c | 2,899$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…aac2backed Yes | 4c | 2,641$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 2,469$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 2,463$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…c9bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,428$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 10c | 2,360$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…9f46backed Yes | 12c | 2,040$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…4691backed Yes | 5c | 2,029$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 2,029$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 14c | 2,008$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 15c | 1,969$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…7bdabacked Yes | 5c | 1,930$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,488.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,905$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…33b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,656$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e3…8287backed Yes | 3c | 1,648$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…de72backed Yes | 2c | 1,577$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,576$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…bf12backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…fd43backed Yes | 1c | 1,489$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…7cf0backed Yes | 14c | 1,300$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,205$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,200$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 5c | 1,128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…9cb0backed Yes | 2c | 990$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed Yes | 18c | 974.06$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 13c | 952.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…b560backed Yes | 3c | 950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 2c | 949.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…7f92backed Yes | 2c | 940$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…bbdabacked Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…ab45backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…9919backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8388…2d23backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 800.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…51b2backed Yes | 4c | 793.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…f522backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…34bebacked Yes | 3c | 691$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…f293backed Yes | 3c | 687.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…6960backed Yes | 10c | 664.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 13c | 643.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…43cebacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…30cabacked Yes | 5c | 584.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 580.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…59f1backed Yes | 4c | 507.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…1fedbacked Yes | 17c | 464.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 10c | 451$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 446.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 13c | 409.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…ec35backed Yes | 8c | 381.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked Yes | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 371.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…b117backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 11c | 356.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 14c | 356.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b265backed Yes | 5c | 316.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…cf32backed Yes | 3c | 313$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 15c | 309.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…55f5backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 8c | 190.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…2651backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…8565backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.