TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$681,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$628,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $681,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Yes76c184,639$140,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,875.025552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes77c82,208$63,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,777.833545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No0c58,885$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9718748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed No0c57,415$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.741010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No32c48,120$15,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,398.313125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked No13c31,243$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.385226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed No21c28,875$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed No47c22,534$10,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,639.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10f…bfb8backed No12c17,507$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed No9c12,775$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked No10c10,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.046229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes67c9,653$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.836939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfc…07b0backed No39c8,497$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a1…96debacked No21c8,310$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.45633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4d…912bbacked No9c8,116$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No20c8,111$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.4938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked No11c6,899$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed No17c6,059$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb6…9decbacked No45c5,565$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.345141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bec…2163backed No17c5,391$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes69c5,278$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.024533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No29c5,221$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.733321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed No8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No8c4,485$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.114658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No22c4,099$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.751421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+112.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd184…a94cbacked No15c4,051$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No21c3,953$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1027…8f1ebacked Yes51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes79c3,215$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.14313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…0e4fbacked No16c3,083$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7b…ba89backed No8c2,952$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes56c2,939$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.191936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Yes79c2,887$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.952245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No13c2,591$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.294712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No16c2,196$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.252037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a05dbacked No38c2,087$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked Yes70c2,048$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No37c2,035$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.912556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec5…ae41backed No12c1,913$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.263743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7e…020cbacked No55c1,843$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6c…bc26backed No11c1,748$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…a3f3backed No15c1,669$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No25c1,648$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.231833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes52c1,608$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed No27c1,597$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.691323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea49…cec1backed No18c1,513$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210c…d6c1backed Yes76c1,423$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes68c1,415$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked No18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45b2…b7bfbacked No15c1,334$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e45…d9ccbacked No13c1,277$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.031414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc68…1c00backed No39c1,277$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes77c1,194$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7210850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes79c1,149$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3810636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30b1…a4cfbacked Yes72c1,129$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes55c1,115$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…60d8backed No18c1,112$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…57f7backed No12c1,109$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No15c1,094$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.31020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b65…eaedbacked No41c1,022$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed No45c1,007$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed No44c1,000$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43615543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked No37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.994738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac3…c369backed Yes64c991.96$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.53540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed No38c925.92$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes57c906.71$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.645253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x049d…292abacked No39c904.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c0b…661ebacked No11c900.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked No12c889.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.621250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+115.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed No14c860$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.845832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdc…81e2backed No9c841.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No11c840.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.191442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6f…8623backed No24c839.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed No13c827.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No37c819.14$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0311557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…01c6backed No39c815.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf07…a6abbacked No13c784.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f17…f91dbacked No9c781.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No38c780.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked No18c772.65$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.544632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad7…c5b6backed No14c759.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f6…8e50backed No10c735.58$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f0…36d3backed No16c729.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a9…1221backed Yes68c729.34$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+104.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0c…7558backed No15c717.4$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…1590backed No28c711.79$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95a…3dc5backed No14c689.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e0…1fd1backed Yes72c684.85$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed No44c682.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked No44c675.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc203…53adbacked No29c674.31$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f12…e573backed No23c671.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c4…978fbacked Yes61c654.14$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…b669backed No18c641.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60c…625dbacked No16c638.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed No38c634.5$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e2…a455backed No11c629.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3fa…e991backed No43c628.33$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbc…ea08backed No15c625.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.